Geopolitics

Live geopolitics markets, sorted by 24h volume.

• 

  US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

  • October 1297%
  • October 1593%
  • October 3179%
  $10.2M vol
• 

  Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

  • Gadi Eizenkot42%
  • Benjamin Netanyahu35%
  • Naftali Bennett14%
  $45.3M vol
• 

  Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?

  • October 1596%
  • October 3186%
  • November 1576%
  $33.8M vol
• 

  US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

  • March 3165%
  • December 3143%
  • November 3027%
  $38.9M vol
• 

  NATO x Russia military clash by...?

  • December 3122%
  • October 317%
  $8.7M vol
• 

  Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?

  • Yes 1%No 99%
  $2.2M vol
• 

  Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

  • Yes 17%No 84%
  $73.3M vol
• 

  Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

  • Yes 6%No 95%
  $27.1M vol
• 

  US imports Russian diesel by October 31?

  • Yes 51%No 49%
  $103.9K vol
• 

  Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

  • December 3116%
  • October 317%
  $16.8M vol
• 

  Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

  • Yes 7%No 94%
  $3.5M vol
• 

  Who will Putin meet bilaterally in Turkmenistan?

  • Kassym-Jomart Tokayev23%
  • Ilham Aliyev21%
  • Sadyr Japarov19%
  $105.2K vol
• 

  Will Ukraine target Moscow on...?

  • October 1352%
  • October 2052%
  • October 1750%
  $251.1K vol
• 

  US-Yemen ceasefire continues through...?

  • October 1297%
  • October 1592%
  • October 3177%
  $189.5K vol
• 

  Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31?

  • Venezuela16%
  • Kuwait10%
  • Lebanon7%
  $891.4K vol
• 

  Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

  • December 31, 202771%
  • November 30, 202767%
  • October 31, 202764%
  $8.5M vol
• 

  Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on...?

  • October 10100%
  • October 897%
  • October 595%
  $61.8K vol
• 

  Iran full airspace closure by...?

  • December 3126%
  • October 317%
  $10.2M vol
• 

  Riyadh airport closed to departures for 24 hours by...?

  • October 1584%
  • October 3183%
  $48.4K vol
• 

  Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?

  • December 3135%
  • November 3023%
  • October 3114%
  $2.9M vol
• 

  Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by...?

  • December 3168%
  • November 3059%
  • October 3136%
  $248.7K vol
• 

  US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?

  • Yes 76%No 25%
  $149.9K vol
• 

  Putin out as President of Russia by...?

  • June 30, 202710%
  • December 31, 20263%
  $28.8M vol
• 

  Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?

  • December 3112%
  • October 313%
  $2.3M vol
• 

  Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

  • December 317%
  • October 311%
  $75.8M vol
• 

  Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

  • Yes 2%No 98%
  $43.8M vol
• 

  US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?

  • December 3114%
  • November 307%
  • October 312%
  $19.9M vol
• 

  Crude Oil all time high by...?

  • March 31, 202719%
  • December 3110%
  $4.8M vol
• 

  Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

  • Yes 17%No 84%
  $14.5M vol
• 

  Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?

  • Yes 7%No 94%
  $731.4K vol
• 

  Xi Jinping out before 2027?

  • Yes 3%No 97%
  $14.7M vol
• 

  Iran leadership change by...?

  • June 30, 202723%
  • December 3112%
  • November 306%
  $27.2M vol