Iran leadership change by...?
$27.2M Vol.Ends 01 Jul 2027
June 30, 2027
$365.5K Vol.
23%December 31
$5.1M Vol.
12%November 30
$154.5K Vol.
6%October 31
$547.6K Vol.
2%▲1%
$27.2M Vol.Ends 01 Jul 2027
$365.5K Vol.
$5.1M Vol.
$154.5K Vol.
$547.6K Vol.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe. An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
N.sam4d
What is dead may never die
sqsb5d
:)
Jatheripper26d
good luck killing the dead
Robbb65d
lol
0x619DC40631C5f78606d17Ed1528d62898096B31C-176791576346165d
Breaking:Mojtaba waked up !
altdel65d
As always, just Iranian rumors. Take advantage while others are selling.
Mikelious65d
BREAKING 🔴 Iran's Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei is in extremely critical condition and could pass away at any moment, two sources close to the Pezeshkian administration told IranWire.
NOIZYUV77d
Mojtaba Khamenei's father-in-law, former Iranian Parliament Speaker Gholam-Ali Haddad-Adel, in an interview with the Iranian IRNA agency: "For certain reasons, he is not in contact with any entity or person, hoping that he is healthy"
Zubumafu79d
Better sell those 6K bro, they can't hide the fact that their leader is dead forever
Treedud2581d
Already over
PMTraderAdam81d
In the city, 'member used to drive a Yukon
Laurenman83d
Fact.
GollumGekko83d
the dead cannot die
Zubumafu84d
They will keep him as Zombie leader for the next 2-3 months and then replace him
Zubumafu84d
He is likely dead, and if not, he will get assassinated, Trump is sick of him
0x30ab…84d
Can a dead person be a de facto leader? What would Saul Kripke think of this?
NOIZYUV84d
The Saudi channel Al-Hadath claims, citing an Israeli security source: "Mojtaba Khamenei is not in Iran."
NOIZYUV95d
As a ghost maybe
Zubumafu95d
Yeah that one is free money, just sucks that it's going to be a while until we receive it
JuicyPusy95d
Yall retarded? He went to his father's funeral yesterday.
0x03141505C79F7D82eA4d426105Cb228B4eD92F6d-176650721605196d
I don't understand why the scandalous lack of any proof that Mojtaba is alive isn't being used as a major weapon against the regime.
NOIZYUV98d
Yeah bro, I placed an order for june 2027
Zubumafu98d
You did, that's for sure, it will take a few months at the very least until they admit that he is dead
NOIZYUV99d
Yeah I probably made a mistake buying for July
Zubumafu100d
Yup, though it won't happen on July, they have to finish this war face, the change will be a month or two after the negotiations (and war) ends
NOIZYUV102d
He's dead and it's only a matter of time until it becomes known
Mission3104d
Leadership not gonna change by end of year
hyper-liquid-xyz104d
2 hours ago - Iranian state media says it has now "no choice but to obtain the atomic bomb" to remove "the military option for the occupation and partitioning of Iran" from the table, arguing Iran must "absolutely reach nuclear deterrence" before current negotiations can be conducted "from a correct position," per Fars. 😮😮😮
Zubumafu114d
He is dead
Isekai114d
Moj safe again
JuicyPusy116d
His father's burial and funeral is scheduled for next week, and Mojtaba will be leading the burial prayer at holy shrine where his father will be buried. The regime wouldn't have had scheduled a burial for the previous supreme leader if his son (and the new leader) wasn't going to attend it.
Zubumafu120d
Yes in insanely underpriced
obvinsidertrading142d
you can't prove it unfortunately
tfuladloomt142d
no more changes this year
Mikelious144d
You don't even know if he's alive how can anyone bet on this?
Isekai145d
Moj Safu
SqMoneyHunter147d
He's defiantly dead. This is IRGC coup which they using his name to run the country. Polymarket shouldn't resolve any date until further information and clarity. He's not leading the country not in May nor March
TheRealWarMonger149d
Momo stay strong
0x64AA3F2869DE45F6121f6760288432D19681E774-1763311387317157d
Diplomatic signals accelerated recently.
Jesus.Loves.Us162d
Of course it will change! No other way! As God commanded!
dakrside1163d
IRGC push this guys to be supreme leader after he heavily injured , and about to die, IRGC control the military now they have a puppet ayatollah, no reason to announce to world even puppet is dead so they dont have to pick another that might threaten IRGC total power
Antigen88164d
Pretty wild considering he’s dead or hasn’t been seen publicly.
jayames1990165d
Only a matter of time: [link removed]
jayames1990165d
Only a matter of time:
porbee165d
Whenever Iran regime changes I will change my underwear
zxcolololo167d
Below 3%, the dream is cheap but the exit is the hard part. Market is treating YES like a scratch-off: YES 1.7%, book $1.4k.
0x798F98dC26CccBb7061E02F43De4E55f6362d7d3-1772125864204167d
Exactly, he's dead. Also its been a change to a military government instead of religious.
0x798F98dC26CccBb7061E02F43De4E55f6362d7d3-1772125864204167d
They released a wall of martyrs and it has Mojatba on it!! They are showing he's dead.
Kentastrof1168d
This market is more if there will come out a statement acknowledging him dead or unfit, from Iran.. They would never tell the world he's dead if he's dead. They will play this forever...
Crypto1Mark168d
Interesting! [link removed]
0x798F98dC26CccBb7061E02F43De4E55f6362d7d3-1772125864204168d
Hes brain dead or actually dead. The IRGC put a gun to the head of the clerics to elect Mojtaba because they can run the government. it's not run by the IRGC not the Clerics, a quiet coup but a coup. Ghalibaf's post come from California, he doesn't post for himself. Except for a couple of fake posts for Mojtaba no one has seen or heard of him.
AyatollahDollar169d
Yes, UMA will vote NO, clearly. Just like it resolved on March 31.
latenightdegen169d
I imagine time will expire on the market, 3 days will expire, automatic resolution proposal comes in, then the dispute, and it will end up in a UMA vote
AyatollahDollar169d
Random "reports" or speculations from various no-names aren't relevant and won't resolve this market
bonk3rs169d
On X today, many users (including opposition accounts) bluntly claim “Mojtaba is already dead” or “brain dead,” calling the entire leadership a “charade” or “1984-style fiction” to maintain continuity. Some tie Ghalibaf’s post directly to this, suggesting it’s damage control or an attempt to project unity while the IRGC runs things behind the scenes.
latenightdegen169d
there are recent reports confirming "or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran" has already been happening. he doesn't need to die, or be announced dead
AyatollahDollar169d
Even if he's gone, you won't know about it before the whole thing's over lol. Good luck Yessisters
