This market will resolve to “Yes” if there is a ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A ceasefire agreement refers to any mutually-agreed suspension of direct military engagement between Russia and Ukraine, which is either officially announced by both countries or confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting to have been mutually agreed by both countries.
A broader peace deal, normalization agreement, political framework, truce, or humanitarian pause will qualify if it includes a mutually agreed suspension of direct military engagement, to be effective on a specified date. Agreements that outline future negotiations or de-escalation measures without an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not qualify.
Any form of informal understanding, backchannel communication, de-escalation without an announced agreement, or unilateral pause in hostilities will not be considered a ceasefire agreement.
Only agreements which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Agreements which only apply to specific conflict categories (e.g. restrictions on certain target categories or certain locations) will not qualify.
If a qualifying agreement is officially reached before this market’s end date, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of whether the ceasefire agreement officially takes effect after that date.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine and a consensus of credible reporting.
Comments (116)
Car33m
first a fake Diesel Deal for Putin, then let Zelenskyy cry, then announce a fake Energy Ceasefire, next Diplomatic meeting, then real ceasefire. The game plan of Donald J Trump
Lol if Witkoff says something it's exactly other way round. Thoese dude coming to Moscow nearly every weekends in last 2 yrs whts the result) donny said he will end it in 24 hrs now it's 700 times later and the war still going
You are mistaken, Vatnik. 'Phobia' means fear. We are not afraid of Ruzzians. We know that Russia will inevitably collapse - it's just a matter of time. No... we are just not Putin suckers. You know in our civilized world it's not okay to invade another sovereign country and then systematically commit terrorism and genocide against the civilian population. I know this is something you are used to - as all the moscovites - because that's all you know since IV. Ivan - the first tzar. Terror, oppression, aggression, and wars. Or anarchy and chaos. You never experienced civilized democracy and the rule of law. But we don't tolerate bullies here, so Russia will get what it deserves: it will be fucked in the ass, and deeply regret ever laying an eye on Ukraine.
But as I said before, this site is not for the purpose of completing your deficient education on morals and rule of law. This is a betting site. Not a blog, not tinder, not twitter, not a support group. You either take your bets, or cry to your mom somewhere else.
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pink.impala28d
i think you should go to supportgroup and therapy for your russophobia!
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pink.impala28d
Look at my history bitch i was down 6k not long ago! soon enough im gonna be high in profit!
quadrant628d
Obviously he's not asking you.. You have no money to give 🤣
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zalansz29d
as many people already told you, this is not a support group. Go cry somewhere else, Vatnik.
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pink.impala30d
you get nothing!
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pink.impala30d
Mi no hablo!
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pink.impala30d
🚨 🚨 UKRONAZI DETECTED!!!
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pink.impala30d
ENGLISH PLZ!!!
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pink.impala30d
english Gena plz!
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pink.impala30d
Imagine they take my money and send to ukraine its just HORRIBLE every day it EATS ON ME to know MY MONEY is sent to these corrupt ungrateful scumbags!
Пох на стрельбу. Рынок о том, объявят ли обе стороны об перемирии или нет.
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Pripeka32d
Не понимаю, например, рождественское перемирие или пасхальное будет считаться как перемирие? А если и будет, то не понимаю, как относиться к стрельбе в эти дни?
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pink.impala33d
Zelensky so cringe with his boomer jokes and him dressing like 6yo, its really quite remarkable how cringe be is
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zalansz33d
no, noone hates Ukraine, except nazi moscovite Vatnik trolls. Go, get mad about it. This is a betting site, and not a psych ward.
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TherephLev34d
So maybe Russia should stop the war? If Nazi Germany hadn't poured money into the war, it could have gifted 1 million to a random citizen every day for 8,200 years.
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pink.impala34d
you should cry, cry and cry again!
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zalansz35d
In other words: Nothing at all happened, no progress was made
We are hopeful and ready to continue working as long as necessary, Witkoff called the conversation very meaningful.
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zalansz35d
cry me a river, russian ork
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pink.impala35d
FUCK UKRAINE!!
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pink.impala35d
Fuck ukraine!
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pink.impala35d
"WITH THIS MONEY, ALL GERMAN PENSIONERS COULD RECEIVE AN ADDITIONAL €100 PER MONTH FOR SIX YEARS":
👎Co-chair of the AfD Tino Chrupalla criticized Berlin's spending on supporting Ukraine.
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zalansz35d
this is not support group nor a kindergarten for Moscovite crybabies. Either take your bets or fuck off. Russian terrorist state is already lost btw.
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pink.impala35d
Its funny how desperate Zelensky is for ceasefire HAHAHAHA! But Russia is losing LOL 🤡 🤡 🤡
Warsong35d
Wow u are so smart
Car36d
peace in Ukraine and Russia, inshaAllah
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pink.impala36d
lil self hating russian..
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pink.impala36d
your a traitor then, imagine hating your own country SMH
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pink.impala36d
take it easy yourself stupid thebull i can say what i want here!
rafael736d
Buy high sell low😆
Spirit-LT36d
But it’s not finaly;) It’s just a statement from Peskov.
tsybka36d
Is locking in profit from 11c > 21c a bad thing? Besides, the ceasefire will only be in effect locally.
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Compound-5736d
Contract needs a general pause, Kyiv and Moscow pause won’t count
Spirit-LT36d
Why are you selling?😁
tsybka36d
🤔
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0x30ab…36d
They are not even trying with these bots lol
the.bull36d
take it easy russian bot
0xaA5467ECe5679fe98dfD1b9De3763B81C0a536d
cry me a river. as a russian i hate putenka n ruzzia.
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pink.impala36d
all ukraine do is lie and demand money, how worthless it is project ukraine
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pink.impala36d
Zelensky really desperate now what a LOSER
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kittymeowcat36d
and new drones flying on Kyiv
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degendi36d
There are A lot of explosions right now in Dnipro and Kiev. Good ceasefire.
ProstoArtem36d
Отсутствие взаимного соглашения (односторонняя пауза) однозначно должно квалифицировать рынок как – NO
На сайте Украинской Правды пишут про наземные войска
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kuinji36d
Only agreements which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Agreements which only apply to specific conflict categories (e.g. restrictions on certain target categories or certain locations) will not qualify.
Если это только воздушное перемирие, сработет ли ставка вообще?
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0xf27de6607Cbd19be1133619B9807ff63Fb86e6d36d
I can wait, but why would Russia agree to cease all attacks because Jew and Jewer are in Moscow? What is the rationale? Instead, suspending air attacks makes sense, so you don't shoot down the Jew Force One.
tsybka36d
НА-ДУ-ЛИ
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0x30ab…36d
I dont know if firing counts as ceasing fire mhh
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Artist2227736d
wait
Spirit-LT36d
Lol
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0xf27de6607Cbd19be1133619B9807ff63Fb86e6d36d
That, or the sirens from the Odyssey
StarMaster36d
Ceasefire celebration sirens
Spirit-LT36d
Wait, wait, wait
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0xf27de6607Cbd19be1133619B9807ff63Fb86e6d36d
In any case, the ceasefire is fake news. Zelensky offered a pause in air attacks only.
