Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by...?

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Perim Island is no longer under Houthi control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". “The Houthis” refers to the Houthi movement (Ansar Allah), including its governing institutions and any armed force operating under its direction or on its behalf. “Perim Island” refers to Perim (Mayyun) Island in the Bab el-Mandeb Strait, Yemen. “No longer under the control of the Houthis” means that the Houthis no longer exercise primary military control over Perim Island, and another state, occupying force, the internationally recognized government of Yemen, or an internationally backed authority has established control over the island. Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Houthi activity will not qualify on their own. An announcement, threat, or claim that the Houthis have lost control will not qualify without actual control being established. If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island. If control over Perim Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.

Comments (3)

• 

  TrashGirl2h

  There will definitely be footage confirmation when the island is cleared and remaining houthis surrender there. No one has landed even on the island so far. And I guess it won't happen until the whole shoreline and mountainous cape is fully cleared. So far they were fighting only around beaches near dhubab.

• 

  autisem4h

  Yemeni government forces have taken complete control of Bab al-Mandeb and Perim Island, as the Southern Giants Brigades clashed with Houthi fighters in the Dhubab area, capturing several militia members, according to military sources. Al Arabia

• 

  clazzy113h

  no way jose