Will Ukraine hold Kursk through Aug 31?
$861.6K Vol.Ends 31 Aug 2024
$861.6K Vol.Ends 31 Aug 2024
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ukrainian forces maintain control of any part of the Kursk Oblast of Russia, through 11:59 PM ET on August 31, 2024. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". If Ukrainian forces at any point no longer control any territory in the Kursk Oblast, this market will immediately resolve to "No". Control is defined as Ukrainian forces being present and actively holding territory in the Kursk Oblast. The primary resolution source for this market will be maps and reports published by the Institute for the Study of War (https://www.arcgis.com/apps/mapviewer/index.html?webmap=9f04944a2fe84edab9da31750c2b15eb), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Nasi_Goreng770d
Thanks for playing, Putler buttlickers. Eat shit!
uzitgc770d
RTFM
Appppping770d
When will it be resolved?
Salomon-Brothers774d
Day 12 asking Donkov to send me money
Suie32774d
Putting POWs on a plane and having your enemy shoot down the plane, sounds like Putin knows where the A.A. systems are, could of sent missle and blown it up, instead he rather loose a airplane out of spite. He is loosing it.
Nasi_Goreng774d
delusional vatnik tears are the sweetest... thx for providing over $200 of exit liquidity to this market.
Salomon-Brothers775d
Day 11 asking Donkov to send me money
aikan775d
which map will they use to make totals?
nshrd775d
no worries, I make money from braindamaged believers like you
Nasi_Goreng775d
too expensive, not enough vatniks actually walk the talk.
nshrd775d
go put some money in first
Nasi_Goreng776d
Vatniks talk big on ElonTwitter, but don't back it up by buying enough shares here to help my broke ass.
0xba32…778d
Almost 20 days and Pusians made no real effort to push back AFU.
Nasi_Goreng779d
SMO is going so well for the Nazi Führers in Kremlin, they now send their terror orcs to battle with nothing more than Esmarch bandages: [link removed]
Nasi_Goreng779d
TASS 🤡
ImJustKen779d
Ukrainain control continues to expand lol. Moscow wen?
bydlokurwa780d
Kiev Regime militants in the Kursk Region throw their own KIAs into a hole while they retreat. [link removed]
Bwrbouere780d
Always fun making money with vatnik
Nasi_Goreng780d
I don't take advice from Putler buttlickers and fascist terrorist supporters. Even less from cucks that lose money on a prediction market because they have not one bit of common sense left in their washed up little vatnik brains.
Donkov781d
"From news" lmao
Cetus781d
This guy hates making money.
vrman781d
From news: " — The Armed Forces of Ukraine are already withdrawing some units from the Kursk region in order to transfer them to other directions"
tsybka781d
🤡
CompulsiveGambler781d
It was free money a week ago tbh
mvp99781d
твой папа в пакетике мусорном лежит
Nasi_Goreng781d
No problem: "Their help is enormous because many men went to fight and are no longer available,"
Cetus781d
If he wants it back by October, then for sure he won't get it back by September lmao. This is free money.
Cetus781d
Putin orders Ukrainian forces to be pushed out of Kursk region by October 1. [link removed]
nshrd781d
Why don't you post this one also? “Their help is enormous because many men went to fight and are no longer available,”
Nasi_Goreng781d
Mainstream Media: "A year and a half ago, Ms. Yatsina, 21, was working as a nanny. Then friends told her that a mine in the eastern town of Pavlohrad was hiring women to replace men drafted into the military. The pay was good and the pension generous. It wasn’t long before Ms. Yatsina was walking through the mine’s maze of tunnels, a headlamp strapped to her red helmet." - Vatniks: "They force women to work in coal mines" LUL :D
nshrd782d
Ye but they have written this about Ukraine. In this case I think there is a big mess in Ukraine+West relationships
nshrd782d
Look at this. They force women to work in coal mines. And you think they can hold their positions in Kursk? Doubt it [link removed]
johmot783d
need liquidity https://polymarket.com/event/will-russia-capture-pokrovsk-before-november?tid=1724058917688
CompulsiveGambler784d
Need a new market for whether russia recaptures even a single ukrainian-held village in kursk before 31st
Nasi_Goreng785d
Oink oink!
Mark999785d
Твоя мать part of my harem
Nasi_Goreng785d
Vatniks in shambles, Kursk now part of украинский мир
Kalags785d
Agree.
AB.-785d
I will only sell my shares at $99.9
Ennough785d
проиграл все денежки? :(
ImJustKen785d
Here's something wild I just learned, you can't spell "Holy shit what an embarrasment" without at least a few letters from the word Russia
jokir786d
почему обиженный такой
Nashlesh786d
Sup
Nashlesh786d
Why is he a ukr clown? Dude chill you arw already -5000 negative 😂😂
pytin-hyilo786d
it is reported that Borki and Korenevo have been liberated from ruzzian fascists.
SlavaUkraini786d
On the one hand, Kursk is Ukraine, but on the other hand, Russians also gave me money to post this
leveller-359786d
report that vata clown
mewmew1786d
report that ukr clown
pytin-hyilo787d
today + 170 prisoners from ruzzia, the offensive continues.
johmot787d
Y free money
johmot787d
First Ukrainian military commandants' office established in Russia's Kursk Oblast, chaired by Major General Moskalov
johmot787d
Ukrainian forces advance [link removed] kilometres into Russia's Kursk Oblast and now control 82 settlements
Bwrbouere787d
even a retarded number of nuke wouldn't do it lol
nonkenny90787d
Ukraine can hold for 2 months max. The donbass situation will make them shift priority at some point.
Kalags787d
Russia could use 100-300 nuclear bombs to clear that. I think that needs to be priced in. But yeah thats not round 0% probability, but roundish. "No" should cost 0.2 cents, as its technically not impossible.
donor787d
hi
Donkov787d
Ukrops have retard strength when they decide to hold something. Krynky (best example), Bakhmut, Avdeevka etc
Poolymath787d
isn’t it free money? It’s not possible to clear out 2 entire brigades within 2 weeks, especially when they are told to stand fast
pytin-hyilo787d
just recently
pytin-hyilo787d
Ukraine capturing upwards of 80-100 Russian soldiers in the Kursk region [link removed]
Donkov787d
Russia is yet to stop Ukrops from advancing let alone begin a counteroffensive. These things take time. Probably best equivalent is Khesron counteroffensive (minus the body of water separating the Rus positions) [link removed]
Kalags787d
plws leavwm me awlone uwu :3 ;((
Donkov787d
Z
leveller-359787d
ураааааа г888888лл
MAGA4eva787d
Buy High, Sell Low. 🤡 DUMFAG DECRAPP 🤡 is VERY SLOW! 🤣🤣🤣🤣 will DECRAPP and AeSCAMS pump the Ceasefire market like retards yet again? 🤔
gopfan787d
Praying that I lose money on this one.
mr.ozi787d
Yeah, I've been following the war for years now, and i believe you fortunately will. It's highly unlikely that they lose all of it.
XiJinPing-478787d
As much as I hate Ukraine, Russia will NOT be able to take back 100% of Kursk in 2 weeks. Russia can't use artillery and bomb their own cities. It has to be purely soldiers on the ground. Too slow.
SlavaUkraini787d
you too
Kalags787d
Respect
mewmew1787d
bet more
ImJustKen787d
Why are you so mad?
mewmew1787d
clown
ImJustKen787d
Praying that I lose money on this one.
Bwrbouere788d
@watdrones are not a wunderwaffen and are pretty useless if you keep blowing you own convoy [link removed]
cockbrain788d
yeah we all know ur a ruzzian bot
Bwrbouere788d
easiest 20% return I've seen in my life. The Russian will need weeks to reorganise and at least a full week to carry on their offensive while the momentum is at the moment of writing this in Ukraine hands. Thanks for the free money Ruzzian simp
Vulture-811788d
[link removed]
Vulture-811788d
Rumor has it Putin tasked his ex-bodyguard with ending Ukraine’s cross-border offensive. Is Alexey Dyumin really Russia’s ‘shadow defense minister’?
jokir788d
откупайте хули стоите
Ennough788d
who cares
Anesti788d
Sure but notice this is actual Russian territory
SummerWind788d
There is an extremly common bias of underestimating the length of wars, which, if it also applies to smaller operations, would make this and similar market biased towards the "no" option.
Bellya4oK788d
Да ничего пока что
jokir788d
что случилось
Bellya4oK788d
Гоооол
Kalags788d
I hate that Kursk really is not that strategic place to hold. But I still believe ukrainian army will not leave without a fight!
Kalags788d
I am bit scared of my position though, they might not defend the raid to Ruzzia with the same vigour as when they defend their home country.
Kalags788d
Ruzzia will never win.
Anesti788d
Buying the dip on no
jokir788d
до бакса сразу
jokir788d
заолынь весь банкролл
favorlarp788d
ноу ноу ноу, фиг вам ишь чо захатели ишаки
