Will US withdraw from NATO by...?
$6.4M Vol.Ends 01 Jan 2027
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
$1.3M Vol.
3%
$6.4M Vol.Ends 01 Jan 2027
$1.3M Vol.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally initiates a withdrawal from NATO or provides an official notice of denunciation to NATO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A notice of denunciation refers to the submission of a notice of withdrawal as per Article 13 of the North Atlantic Treaty. Any action meeting these criteria will qualify for a “Yes” resolution regardless of if its implementation is immediately halted or delayed by judicial or other actions. The U.S.'s exit from NATO’s integrated military command structure will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". The resolution source will be official information from the US government and NATO, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Lojom138d
gooo out
Xxsocute556166d
tom midnight
BigDutchy167d
lol
Volku176d
they never officially admit it but NATO gonna split
Xxsocute556178d
source? link?
Xxsocute556178d
how
0xB2A4b8516e0E1Ba364F9F2316fD430a89A66C4A6-1775081995380179d
27 april
0xE358Db7f001f95bA1b79a9681F9c7341A2dE16Ad-1759394261955179d
WSJ - Trump Says NATO ‘Won’t Be There’ for U.S. in the Future
saaipofta180d
If he writes a letter of denunctiaion is enough
Xxsocute556180d
why is it quiet here
0xAFd0d1594cdBcaFF9c0DdDd6D32a054C25e12A69-1773556706525181d
0x2a2c53bd278c04da9962fcf96490e17f3dfb9bc1
Nonamenana183d
Lol 100 dollars
FishMan2183d
not so fast april
Xxsocute556183d
are u epstien
Rigorous183d
#Check my track record and the core evidence I posted in the Epstein market (Epstein client list released by). This is a 7x upside opportunity.
0x20304927A28318fE923785700565718cF1beAD81-1768886376054183d
After settling Iran, NATO, see you again
kevtp183d
Just trying to help you not loose your hard earned cash ... think of me in 20 days
bernardbulletin184d
What’s funny about the rules is the notice of denunciation, per Article 13, must be sent to the US. So the underlying should be more like, “the US sends notice to the US that it’s leaving NATO.”
prognozu184d
Read the rules carefully before you lost money. Actions,not words. According to Trump words he is already imperor of eath and galactic who started golden century for humankind,stopt all wars and solved all problems. Action mean that 2/3 of congress should vote for NATO exit and it will be a start of exit procedure which will take a year.
Nonamenana184d
Ok bro keep coping
Nonamenana184d
Lol the rules state that to win YES, its only enough for trump to say they leave NATO
0x4fe9D21BAEcB35cE0918c926df59746575482a8F-1774269801923184d
Brooo
prognozu184d
havent seen
Fuentes31184d
He can step out of the integrated command . Is there a market for that?
EverythingAlwaysHappens184d
free money
prognozu184d
Doesnt matter what Trump said. To initiate withdrawal from NATO he need 2/3 of congress. What a chance?-0.
kevtp184d
That's not correct, unless that statement is a formal request towards NATO to initiate the process of leaving it: "This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally initiates a withdrawal from NATO or provides an official notice of denunciation to NATO". I doubt a social media post could be seen as a formal initiation of withdrawal under those resolution terms, especially if there is no formal follow through and it's the usual empty words. I suppose it will depend on the form of the official statement and how exactly it is worded.
kevtp184d
Nope. Only if a formal process is initiated: "formally initiates a withdrawal from NATO or provides an official notice of denunciation to NATO". A tweet from Trump, one of many extreme statements with zero follow through, would not count.
Laurenman184d
lol
Xxsocute556185d
from cantina app
Nonamenana185d
Even if he posts that US will withdraw, thats enough for the market resolving YES ;)
wizzchan185d
information?
Xxsocute556185d
the market moves thru emotion, dont be sad be happy
13thDukeofWybourne185d
SSSSSSsssshhhhhhhhhhh FFS!
velor1185d
ok)
0x591155E1ddff26779eD5f7F1C6DC411b796dA48a-1768847119181185d
LoL keep on dreaming
Aleqw185d
People need to understand that those who are voting yes april 30 are not thinking that is possible. Only that will be a major talk point in the news in a couple of hours and the odds will increase. Cashout doesnt need to be 100 or nothing
velor1185d
I agree that leaving NATO will happen soon.
bonk3rs185d
[link removed]
velor1185d
WHITE HOUSE: NATO WITHDRAWAL WILL BE DISCUSSED BY TRUMP WITH RUTTE ( YES )
latterationary186d
Seems like a good case for him signing an excutive order to take the US out of NATO
psikikiii186d
Whether a ceasefire or a win for the United States, the NATO is in big trouble thanks to Trumps feelings. He is hurt not only by NATO, but also by the collective west (except Israel) who hasn´t aided him in the war. Interesting times after the war... Maybe even during?
Nonamenana187d
Any action meeting these criteria will qualify for a “Yes” resolution regardless of if its implementation is immediately halted or delayed by judicial or other actions.
Nonamenana187d
No
Nonamenana187d
Exactly
Nonamenana187d
Yes
Ispanez188d
I understood that it’s enough to have a simple but official statement from Trump about leaving NATO, rather than the actual withdrawal itself, which could indeed take a long time. Please read the terms of the bet.
Malachoza188d
This would require Congress, this won’t happen
0x04d57F92Ae334dC1F1043505Db084E6583cd1085-1774463525321188d
It seems the tables are turning.
psikikiii188d
For 9.8c, it is worth the risk. We will see in the coming days. But NATOs "betrayal" won´t be forgotten by Trump.
psikikiii188d
United States will get rough time in Iran, Trump has asked for assistance from NATO which isn´t coming. Trump who already has anti-NATO rhetoric, will threaten even further that he is going to leave NATO if no help is coming for United States in Iran. Europe which is trying to stand on it´s own now that Trump has been so anti-EU and anti-allies, will NOT help United States. This will create rift between them. Trump has the upper hand (both EU and US loses) will somehow punish NATO for not aiding him.
Nonamenana188d
Yeap 😎
0x04d57F92Ae334dC1F1043505Db084E6583cd1085-1774463525321188d
It doesn't hurt to try.
ThatOneEmoGuy189d
You need to stop gambling dude holy shit.
POWERSLAP-EXPERT190d
-4k PNL mentality
lefort3surgery191d
Saying it won't happen by the end of the year is questionable considering the current tension already.
HyperWaldo191d
It won't happen. You dumb.
McMercy192d
This will absolutely happen. Please buy more Yes.
adonispredicts192d
This will not happen. It will damage US's position within Europe a bit too much sent from my bitget wallet
ff00x192d
yes siko
0x476adA369c916cbAa0bFD67B56514c23a8344b22-1771441606144192d
anyway this process is going to take a several years, won't it?
Prosperity168192d
[link removed] In May 2020, the Trump administration announced its intention to leave the Open Skies Treaty and ignored the legal notification requirements. The Justice Department’s Office of Legal Counsel, at the time led by Assistant Attorney General Steven Engel, issued an opinion arguing that the notice requirements infringed on the president’s constitutional authority over foreign affairs. “The President’s power to withdraw from treaties flows from his constitutional role as the ‘sole organ of the nation in its external relations,’ granting him discretion in conducting foreign affairs and implementing or terminating treaties without congressional constraints on diplomatic decisions,” Engel wrote in the administration’s final days.
Prosperity168192d
That’s a new law under Biden trump can say it’s unconstitutional and the president has exclusive authority over foreign treaties. We already know how congress will vote anyway, democrats tried bringing a bill that requires trump to get congress approval before any action in Iran shot down every single time by vote🤣
TESTENAOMEXA192d
Great call
twwisteer192d
yessir
dms7192d
Trump is crazy guy
0xd11BA069fdaba1293DE958A26E1db271E832Ac3D-1767579549514192d
easy win, he cant unless 2/3 of Senate agree which is impossible
