Will any country leave NATO by...?
$1.4M Vol.Ends 01 Jan 2027
Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?
$405.6K Vol.
5%
$1.4M Vol.Ends 01 Jan 2027
$405.6K Vol.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any member state formally withdraws from NATO or provides an official notice of denunciation to NATO by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A notice of denunciation refers to the submission of a notice of withdrawal as per Article 13 of the North Atlantic Treaty. A country's exit from NATO’s integrated military command structure will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". That country must either withdraw or submit a notice of denunciation to trigger a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source will be official information from the relevant government and NATO, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
0x7b7f0E1a3c5e091aCd0ddaAeaD1201F106573f4f-1768426621821158d
So odd
0x6120f232678c5a79f2af057b34100f2B5c3BB06a-1767832584697170d
Slovenia, Spain, and the United States. It's odd that the probability here is lower than for the United States alone.
Prosperity168191d
Why are you betting if you’re only up 700$ what’s the point? That’s one dinner sir 🤣
saneperson191d
bro how do you still have money to gamble, and why are you still betting 💀
Prosperity168192d
In May 2020, the Trump administration announced its intention to leave the Open Skies Treaty and ignored the legal notification requirements. The Justice Department’s Office of Legal Counsel, at the time led by Assistant Attorney General Steven Engel, issued an opinion arguing that the notice requirements infringed on the president’s constitutional authority over foreign affairs. “The President’s power to withdraw from treaties flows from his constitutional role as the ‘sole organ of the nation in its external relations,’ granting him discretion in conducting foreign affairs and implementing or terminating treaties without congressional constraints on diplomatic decisions,” Engel wrote in the administration’s final days.
TDD223192d
hes going to invoke the article and use it as a bargaining chip
philou747193d
[link removed].uk/news/world/middle-east/[link removed]
thecaricature206d
Ukraine isn't part of NATO.
0xDFbde4f388F161168806d9bdF736Cb685C0a1cd4-1763288381371232d
nato will dissolves before July
charlee13264d
what u ppl think about this right now ?
LucyJoe267d
Denmark probably wants to withdraw, but if it does, Greenland will be attacked.
0xf35jsv80u3nos0uvsd272d
100%
0x78cfbE1a6ecBD0b6118CB84f8FF4eF48904BCb09-1762357822365339d
Ukraine is not part of NATO so it doesnt pay taxes. USA has no obligation to "defend" Ukraine. the average american cant even point to Ukraine on the map. Other than minerals there is nothing to gain from Ukraine. most of those minerals are located in the Russian occupied parts of Ukraine.
JacinthHenry-Martin341d
Hungary withdraws from NATO by end of 2025 amid Orban's pro-Russia pivot.
JulesAnthony341d
Turkey exits NATO by December 2025 amid escalating tensions with US.
nwo447d
So it becomes more than likely that Ukraine may fall and thus it begs the question, what’s the point of being part of Nato and pay heavy taxes to USA if it can’t protect Ukraine. Like who’s next on the chopping board?
nwo447d
Also because there is conflict brewing between Turkey and Israel and Middle East. USA and Nato might be spread too thin to effectively defend Ukraine and all the while North Korea, India, and other countries are all supplying Russia with troops or weapons.
nwo447d
The reason they are part of Nato is that USA could protect them with military power. And if Ukraine losses and a small Nato country like Lithuania is attacked and the USA doesn't or can't help them, then there's no point for any of the countries to stay in Nato because nobody wants to pay such high taxes to USA if it can't protect them militarily.
nwo447d
The reason they are part of Nato is that USA could protect them with military power. And if Ukraine losses and a small Nato country like Lithuania is attacked and the USA doesn't/can't help them, then there's no point for any of the countries to stay in Nato because nobody wants to pay such high taxes to USA if it can't protect them militarily. Also because there is conflict brewing between Turkey and Israel and Middle East. USA and Nato might be spread too thin to effectively defend Ukraine and all the while North Korea, Laos, Afganistan, and I think India are all supplying Russia with troops and / or weapons.
nwo447d
Gena, I agree. Other countries are just -tax- slaves.
pup1567d
15% return in 9months is not terrible ig
GenaTheBondKilIer584d
The only one that can leave is USA, because other members are just slaves
CoffeeLover586d
So what? It's possible to be in both NATO and BRICS
CoffeeLover586d
Why would anyone want to leave NATO? That would be dumb
Auzz596d
Turkey just said they want to join BRICS
bettingboy599d
Why would any country leave now when things are getting even more dangerous? There's no talks in any country and the process would take more than a year. Free money
SystemSympathizer600d
Don't they say 2025 is the year NATO collapses?
dodged-a-bullet604d
No country has ever officially left NATO. It is worth noting, however, that in 1966 France withdrew from NATO’s integrated military command structure while remaining a member of the alliance, and it rejoined full integration in 2009
Confrmed.US.Alien604d
Good question
