US-China trade deal before June?
$3.5M Vol.Ends 31 May 2025
$3.5M Vol.Ends 31 May 2025
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over trade and/or tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between April 8, and May 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect. Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries will qualify for resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Orion-Pax516d
Is this a tariff agreement? It can only be considered a negotiation roadmap, which is far from a final agreement. This proposition is too misleading.
TheWolfOfPoly517d
Congrats everyone
Vonsav517d
gg
duderr517d
good job :)
Porx517d
gg
Noshaa517d
I know reading is hard but you may want to read what you’re betting on before going out and gambling… “The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.”
muellermeisterin517d
same here, ridiculous. this is not an agreement, just a postponement. but I do not want to put down so much money. I'll cash everything out and quit here. same happened with the UK "deal" - was nothing.
whohizzie517d
nice 1.5k profit, seemed too good to be true
SmartButLazy517d
Gg
dumiz517d
“This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over trade and/or tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement” MUTUALAGREEMENT
qianfan517d
Looking for POS machines that can process Euro to US Dollar transactions, with a very large amount of funds. Interested parties can discuss.
qianfan517d
Looking for POS machines that can process Euro to US Dollar transactions, with a very large amount of funds. Interested parties can discuss.
Ma517517d
This is my first time betting on Polymarket, and to me, the outcome seemed obvious. If the result stays like this, I’ll be very disappointed with the platform, but I won’t raise a dispute.
punishedgoon517d
You should dispute! You're going to make $100,000!
ManBa517d
The joint statement mentions a suspension but not lowering, but I don't have money to dispute...
dj1230cakwkdaikwi21ie1517d
you have the dispute windows up top, you need to put down 750 to do it and will lose that money if you lose the dispute
Ma517517d
how to do that?
Ma517517d
It's just continuing negotiations within 90 days, with tariffs temporarily adjusted to 10% (U.S. exports to China) and 50% (China exports to U.S.) during this period. This cannot be considered a trade deal.
Kovu517d
GGs
Car517d
SAtANTANGO, dont forget to dispute
Underdarkus517d
Gg guys, cold patience wins
n1ckz517d
And of course this is only for 90 days
control517d
https://polymarket.com/event/which-countries-will-the-us-agree-to-trade-deals-with-before-july/will-the-us-agree-to-a-trade-deal-with-china-before-july?tid=1747034539136
The-Dove517d
gg
Darkpsico-517d
GG
aenews2517d
Looks I was right
aenews2517d
Told you it would go to 0 in an hour lol, granted it seems my sells hit
Car517d
no, im actually this full of my self. my ego increases at the same speed as my balance
Love.always.wins.over.hatred.and.envy517d
this time you forgot to logout from your account.
Car517d
how does it feel to lose money and fade Car
mslsex517d
take your L 😭✌🏻💔💔
muellermeisterin517d
this china thing is the same hoax as the UK thing - just an MoU at best, no concrete action plan etc.
Z1777517d
I flipped to your side lol
Z1777517d
Yo I flipped Yes
dookiedennis517d
can’t wait
aenews2517d
Gg in an hour?
donedone517d
"Rules" "Creddibe Srouces" "Official agreements" ahaha lol you guys must be new to Polymarket lol
nrothbard517d
There is no definitive mutual agreement between China and the US on trade or tariffs, despite recent talks. Negotiations occurred in Geneva over the weekend, involving US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, US Trade Representative Jamieson Greer, and Chinese Vice Premier He Lifeng. Bessent claimed "substantial progress" was made, with details expected to be announced on May 12, and Greer suggested a "deal" addressing US national security concerns was reached. However, no specifics on tariff reductions or a comprehensive agreement have been confirmed.
Darkpsico-517d
Thats a clear yes
ccai517d
Unfortunately this is a yes. This is a scenario I missed as well
ccai517d
Actually I am afraid this is the scenario. That is what trump called reset
Joel-Osteen517d
That is a yes. That is a agreement and or deal about trade or tariffs.
defiglue517d
What if the china and us announce together that we will continue to discuss the details of the tariff, and said will pause the tariff for x days before they finishes the discussion? Does that count as yes or no?
NETIZENMAUS517d
deal on the way
NETIZENMAUS517d
buy btc before it's too late
MrNFT517d
Notards are noobs
LickNeeson517d
Looks like this all comes down to interpretation what a "deal" constitutes, and No is paying 9 to 1
xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx517d
game will be over
brodiaga517d
No need to bother. Let them have fun tomorrow
Darkpsico-517d
trade deal is done. details tomorrow
aenews2517d
An honorable exit may be better than going to 0 💀
Robis-459517d
meanwhile regards holding a 50:50 at 90% lmao
Robis-459517d
yup, and doesn't even make sense ofc lmao
Logan.517d
big announcement was on drugs not trade deal
Logan.517d
feel like this makes much more sense in the low 80s where it was before someone dumped 40k shares lol
sayrus517d
No holders are freaking out 🥶🥶🥶
dookiedennis517d
🤤👌
Porx517d
The first one went 😜😜😜
Z1777517d
do not stalk me lol
Patroclus517d
yeh honestly no foul admitting you made a mistake, the biggest fuckup is not getting out once you realize you're wrong
duderr517d
akzzz 💀
okcoolstorybro517d
okcoolstorybro
USCHINADEAL517d
no to biden
duderr517d
rip
duderr517d
akzzz sold 14,986 No at 11.2
USCHINADEAL517d
itll happen before may 20th
Darkpsico-517d
ofc yes.
BabaVanga-851517d
at $0.13 I think I'd rather just wait and see
Robis-459517d
exactly. But there's 'slightly' more space down, no? lmao
BabaVanga-851517d
Just so I'm clear, agree to reduce tariffs = trade deal, and mechanism for consultations = not a trade deal. I'm prepared to take the L and move on but its hard to calculate odds right now
duderr517d
🙏🙏🙏
aenews2517d
The warriors of justice shall prevail against the forces of Satan 👹
Z1777517d
nope lol
duderr517d
rip akzzz
aenews2517d
Yeah
Orcishroler517d
It almost seems like some people on this site don't like money
slapbetcommissioner517d
def not free, 85-90% is prob fair
whohizzie517d
the deal is made, right? is this free money?
