S&P 500 all time high by December 31?
$812.9K Vol.Ends 31 Dec 2025
$812.9K Vol.Ends 31 Dec 2025
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the S&P 500 achieves a daily high price greater than 6,920.34 during market hours by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the S&P 500's highest intraday high during the specified timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be figures from Yahoo Finance, specifically the finalized "High" numbers listed under historical data (https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history/).
0x33E21d681587c642aAf7644561e937208Aa4872C-1763764526144285d
Narrator: it wasn't worth a try
thechainsmokers290d
fell asleep
goonmaster24290d
i love you rasha
Liquidifier291d
It's a done deal already... Just waiting for the data to be finalized at market closing.
chpehs291d
isnt it the best way to hedge, long sp500 and put 5$ on No
MistahFox291d
I had it at 93% chance of hitting ATH when i bought no for 4c
DOCW291d
Its over
Liquidifier291d
ggs
blogs291d
ggs
Retiredio291d
Oh really lmao
samaltman-1716233321949291d
Market is closed tomorrow, so only 3 days left for a 20x return, seems worth a try
Humble-Monk291d
Santa claus aint real yo
rabbit007291d
No but there is a huge difference between 98, 96 or maybe 92 percent probability...
Guyshetellsunottoworryabt291d
did some fucking news come out or what
rabbit007291d
Well, at least we got something at a reasonable price.
rabbit007291d
Haha I was unsure why the price was at this level and thought that I had false data for some minutes.^^
Liquidifier291d
Was about to buy 10k at 4c too. ggs
rabbit007291d
@MistahFox, I was about to buy No as well! :D GG on being there five seconds before me ;)
Liquidifier291d
lmk and I'll place the order
Liquidifier291d
Yo, I can do 10k @ 3c for no right now if you're interested.
test8888291d
fr?
thechainsmokers291d
u a dumbass
test8888291d
aint gonna happen
PROBABILITYTRADER291d
To the moon
uhuih291d
odds seem mispriced
truffa331292d
me 2
ultraaxiom292d
I tk spx wont change rather than default rising
LordProtector292d
can go up or down 50:50
0x30ab…293d
Some guy sold his massive stack but still should be way higher
andrebets293d
The S&P just needs to go up by 0.63% to reach ATH. How are the ods so low Lol.
BigChad293d
U bozos, is not gonna happen, gibmme all ur money
Lakepre295d
I dont believe, markets will cool in this holiday season. Too much hype over the last 24 hrs, jump from 25% yes to 50%. Its ll be no.
mommymabel295d
i believe
Phyllix296d
The "Government Shutdown" is the buzzkill. Did you see the inflation data this morning? It was 2.7%, but the BLS admitted they couldn't even collect all the prices because of the record-long shutdown. Investors hate uncertainty. I bet we trade sideways or dip back to 6,700 before the ball drops in NYC.
0xf35jsv80u3nos0uvsd297d
What? Even given the benefit of the doubt, is 10% still "no chance" to you ?
nagooner297d
bond me daddy
BigChad300d
Danul Tramp told me the S&P is going to zerooo
crazyturk31300d
haha no chance
Winifrad301d
It depends totally on the last jobs report. If the employment numbers look soft, the Fed will signal rate cuts for Q1, and we'll absolutely hit a new high. If the jobs numbers are too hot, we crash. I'm leaning yes, the market wants those cuts.
LisaTaylor-584301d
s anp p is plling back on japan rates
Imgrid312d
The market is due for a big pullback, and rates are still too high. The economic data isn't good enough to justify a new high this fast. We're going to chop sideways until January.
MomoAyase315d
hanging man
0xf35jsv80u3nos0uvsd321d
Read rules: 'by December 31, 2025, 12:59 PM ET'
0xdcE0d1016eaD1525fC8c7b6513f989a60fF02DAF-1757924374902321d
What is the defenition? Any day before 31 dec? Or on dec 31? From which date did this market start?
