This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic shares are listed on a public securities exchange and open for trading by 11:59 PM ET on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If Anthropic is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market is official filings and announcements from Anthropic and the relevant securities exchange on which the shares are listed, including SEC filings (e.g., Form S-1, Form 8-A), exchange listing confirmations, and official press releases from Anthropic; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Comments (50)
S
singkhamx14d
This year ?
M
m-trade18d
oktober
mkapepoela21d
no time in september
m8cur1y26d
Not in September
W
WillBeQuant26d
september 30 is and was free money road show in 1 day makes no sense for maybe the biggest ipo of all time october will be rough as well if there is no ipo by mid november it will not happen this year
68thejjk68strong31d
will immediately
T
tiredhungry33d
his market will immediately resolve to "No
T
tiredhungry33d
enen
iForgor36d
thin books wow
Z
ZarD37d
8 sept S-1 public. Gives you enough time for a late September listing, verify your sources. Check also Starlink as a more recent example - you had ±20 days between S-1 and pricing. It is highly dependent on (1) the work done before during the TTW stage; (2) market sentiment and volatility (esp. if FED hikes or not)
S
SIMOMEGA37d
its not only about winrate
mewmew138d
look how odds moved
polmar00139d
your winrate is only 66.3%, hard to trust ya
mewmew141d
no point to hurry
0
0x30ab…41d
Is that a guess? Labor day is sept 7
mewmew142d
10-15 sept s-1 public, around 15-20 oct listing
Contentious-Dinnerdate44d
Entirely possible. But you very well might lose too, and you've put a lot of money on the line ;)
mewmew144d
u gonna lose it
Contentious-Dinnerdate44d
BUY EVEN MORE
0
0x30ab…46d
Using his son as exit liquidity, devious
betjunkie46d
I think this is likely, but overpriced
estoicc48d
sorry son
R
RealJohnTitor48d
Nope. my dad works at Anthropic and said they're gonna shift IPO to March 2027 😹🫵
mewmew149d
done
0
0x30ab…50d
Why, there is a small chance for september
Contentious-Dinnerdate50d
load up bro it's even cheaper now
WaterFloww51d
coin still on the air
mewmew151d
my condolences to all buyers od sept lol 🍌🍌🍌🍌🍌
I
ICBW52d
december is closer than ppl think and i dont know how IPOs go, but will anthropic shares really be available for trading on a public exchange by End of the year?
S
SIMOMEGA53d
source?
0
0x30ab…53d
What makes you so confident?
ThanksGivingTurkey100154d
thats crazy
mewmew155d
50%
R
ryan318857d
nope
I
itsgodsplannn57d
before OCT 31, what do you say chat?
mewmew161d
wsj "insides"
mewmew161d
wsj reporter i guess
Lakan61d
what's with the sept 30 spike
S
SIMOMEGA65d
market link?
W
WillBeQuant65d
bro upset the balance of reward farming
BigDumbDumb65d
September 30. Yes buyer more than 20 k shares today wild
BigUmpalumpa98d
most likely window if you take tesla and historic averages of ipos after the filings they did will be september october people do not believe that it will happen in september no one is willing to put money there but people believe it could happen in october
Why the difference between this December market and the "IPO before 2027" market is so large? Shouldn't they be approximately the same price? There is a 0.10 difference at the moment. 🥸
E
Econmy-189118d
When??
Before Dec 2026?
S
smart3.0130d
I consider this company a clear favorite in the field of AI