Macron out by...?
$2.2M Vol.Ends 01 Jan 2027
Macron out by December 31, 2026?
$37.4K Vol.
3%▼1%
$2.2M Vol.Ends 01 Jan 2027
$37.4K Vol.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between January 2 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Quilty5d
Its now already 100000 protestors killed. Before Macron regime French female went around with tight clothes, now they have much more cloathes on its oppression!
Quilty5d
Update: Its now 45000.
Quilty5d
NEW: French riot police killed 20000 innocent protestors in the middle of street.
DontTrustMe103d
Bit pointless tbh. Macron will finish his second term, there is no uncertainty.
LorenzoVM189d
Could we open december 31st and eventually another one later ?
LasourceX208d
Le frérot il parle tout seul
Matezzi227d
Laisses, il est taré
Lucaasaas282d
c'est quoi un call safu ?
weixian329d
Macron will step down early, but with all the protests and politics, who knows what could happen before his term ends.
stockgold330d
*forcener
stockgold330d
2 et 9% c est ridicule, il y a des calls safu encore plus gourmands ! Foncez la bas, laissez-moi me goinfrer comme un force.
stockgold332d
mais vous comprennez donc rien
stockgold332d
frere tu habites meme pas en france de quoi tu me parles
stockgold332d
petit joueur, si tu crois en ta conviction pose moi un bon 10k
stockgold332d
Macron le despot reste dictateur de la france jusqu'en 2059
stockgold332d
bounggaaaaaaa
0x8a8697fEb16F4F2dafb4fBD1efdd349Db675571D-1761747156906334d
Macron ne tiendra pas jusqu'a decembre, 20 USD sur cette annee
DamienFrost339d
Macron's forced exit by summer 2026 amid pension riots and EU budget woes could hand the reins to a populist firebrand eager to torch Brussels' fiscal orthodoxy.
dodolord343d
it's free
Wermer349d
Macarons are delicious
Ulyssesy353d
French Rose
ajtsoK356d
I HATE FRENCH bureaucracy
Giorgio2356d
Yes. It’s a death market now
FragMalDenRalle357d
they cant even hold elections this quickly
leratpace360d
lmao
Giorgio2360d
Leratpace some news shares for you [link removed]
DFK365d
At this point, who knows? It's starting to give Louis XVI hiding out in his palace vibes. If - once? - Lecornu gets kicked out, all bets are off.
Giorgio2367d
I LOVE POLYMARKET
DontTrustMe369d
Once a budget has been voted... in 2026.
Isidre3x2369d
Horizons president asking for elections. This is close, guys...
AnaFav369d
Memelord stays with us
VictorT369d
[link removed]
VictorT369d
[link removed]
Waterfall371d
@SatoAkira un ptit mot sur le fabuleux nouveau gouvernement ? Bruno de retour, je suis en fou rire
DFK394d
We agree. However I was hoping to get 15%. But there is still the 18th for that haha
Waterfall395d
And as you said, even his resignation wouldn't lead to anything
DontTrustMe395d
LFI even know themselves that their destitution attempt has strictly 0.0000% chance of succeeding. If there was a way for Macron to spin his resignation as a graceful and courageous act to do, he might have been the kind of guy to actually do it. But in the current context, it's impossible. Plus his own camp is not even ready.
Waterfall395d
10% for 3/4 months is still insane, around 30/40% per year is a dream investment, with very to little no risk if we're being honest, there's more chance to see him die than resign
Waterfall395d
He wants to stay, and no one will remove him, LFI is funny thinking they have a chance to make him leave kek. Not a single president resigned in like 70 years, he won't be the first, especially after being president after 8 years
DontTrustMe395d
I think it's a safe "No" yeah. Right now, the most crucial thing for France is to vote a budget for 2026. Macron's resignation would hardly solve anything. He wouldn't want to appear as a failed president who was forced to resign and who plunged France into even more uncertain times. Only new general elections being called before the end of the year is a realistic possibility.
DFK395d
Not done loading up...kinda disappointed. Maybe the 18th will yield better odds.
Waterfall397d
Aight thanks for that free 10% in 3 month
nicoco89397d
bahahahhaha
lollybet402d
Bro called it 4 months ago
JeanneAuSecours9404d
si ce connard tombe, je vais jouir encore plus fort que la Brigitte apres qu'elle ai baise le petit Manu 14 ans
Danar409d
it's not extremely likely but definitely could happen
WHITERACEIBEST409d
YOU don't understand anything about frnch politics. It's sure that if his PM goes down, and semi-chaos takes the coutry by storm in sept, he'll be weak, and who knows ... U are just trying to fit your opinion here.
Loriztx411d
You don't understand anything about French political system, there is no world in which Macron is out.
WHITERACEIBEST411d
He'll get out with his first minister ! :)
nicoco89411d
Alors peut-etre
louis44239412d
Allez on pump Macron
jeydm9442d
What if he just die ?
simonchanceux522d
mdr sachant qu'on a retrouver son frere et qu'on a tout les preuve que votre theorie fumeuse est fake j'espere qu'il vont cree un pari la dessus qu'on prennent l'argent des consanguin comme toi
THEZOHANMamdani524d
still you do see my point that the judge was not a neutral one as it should be...but as I said, biased judges becoming a serious problem (also in US and Germany especially)
vanaik524d
you're deflecting and Lagarde was not even accused of embezzlement
THEZOHANMamdani524d
why is Lagarda not in prison then? she took much more...and the judge has openly called for not voting Le Pen before the last election, judges are becoming more and more of a problem...
vanaik524d
it was a court decision and she actually stole money. Hardly Marcon's fault
Manu888525d
Absolutely not
neolelu526d
me neither its looks like free because he will never resign and said he never will...
DFK532d
There are a few crisis brewing in France, and a complete political paralysis that French people blame Macron for. He went through a number of governments and is kinda out of magic bullets. As always in France the make or break of this market will be in September when protests and strike will likely pop up everywhere, the question will be about the intensity of those, and the asks. It's not impossible they ask for Macron's head, but for him to accept to be guillotined is another story.
2d1d7318-b632-4243-bf81-f05a4105b6e4536d
I don't understand this market. Why he'd be out?
ymb558d
Salut comment tu bet depuis la France ?
The04558d
Jordan will put more pressure
The04558d
Non
THEZOHANMamdani559d
Today's ban of Le Pen will only put more pressure on Macron
melamakrabutanidro601d
yes please
Leleflores88604d
You have no father 😂
Leleflores88608d
Brigitte macron is a man
DFK611d
Before the end of his term there is no exit mechanism other than his own will. If anything, there is something you don't understand about Macron (or any power junkie world leader).
eowimxdc615d
How is it possible for him to stay in power? Is there something I don't understand about French politics?
DFK627d
I would load in on no like a mf if I didn't think we might get a better price when the current gvt falls. That will be, I think, the real entry point.
manucelib35635d
As he lost the former popular it seems impossible that a new referendum would give him a majority. The assembly cannot be dissolved before next July, but if he does it the far right party would win. Bayrou's speech and the announces of the different political parties illustrated the fragility of this new government. What the far right, as well as the left want is Macron's resignation. So indeed nobody can force him out, and for the moment he can find a culprit, but this is just short term. In the long term, it sounds like a dead end issue....But still, you're right, nobody can predict the future...
DFK635d
I meant more likely to be the end of the 5th than the end of Macron. But the 5th may last another few years.
DFK635d
As a matter of fact he does have a choice. Nobody can force him out. And accepting responsibility is not in his nature, nor is accepting defeat. He will stay no matter what. If things get real touchy, he will pull a rabbit from his hat like a referendum on this or that, or even a popular consultation on drawing a new constitution. He will find a culprit and trust me it won't be himself. He can do as he pleases. What we are witnessing is more likely the end of the 5th republic.
manucelib35636d
[link removed]
SuperDarli637d
No, he did not.
Kayane1641d
You mean Bayrou? Sounds like an easy win
RiukLeVrai641d
He already said he was reconsiderating the option of leaving if his pm couldn t handle a majority for the second time
manucelib35641d
the fact that he said that he won't leave doesn't matter. With no majority in the parliament, paralyzed institutions, eventually Macron won't have the choice...
THEZOHANMamdani643d
his new PM will be ousted quickly as the parliament is in gridlock...then the next step is Macron...
