French Socialist Primary: First Round 2nd Place
$21.3K Vol.Ends 10 Oct 2026
Olivier Faure
$5.9K Vol.
99%▲29%
Emmanuel Maurel
$2.1K Vol.
<1%▼5%
Ségolène Royal
$8.7K Vol.
<1%▼28%
Jérôme Guedj
$556.8 Vol.
<1%▼1%
Raphaël Glucksmann
$3.5K Vol.
<1%▼6%
Philippe Brun
$614.6 Vol.
<1%
Rules
The Socialist Party of France (Parti socialiste, PS) is holding a primary to select their nominee for the 2027 French presidential elections. The first round is scheduled to be held on October 9-10, 2026, and the second round on October 16-17, 2026. This market will resolve to the candidate who receives the second-greatest number of votes in the first round of the primary. If the first round is cancelled or does not take place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Paris time, this market will resolve to "Other". Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of votes received in the first round, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If two or more candidates are tied on votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed candidate names. This market will resolve to the candidate who occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official PS sources, including https://parti-socialiste.fr/.
Comments (2)
DontTrustMe1h
Market ready to be resolved (Faure YES, other candidates NO). The official results have been released to the press by the "Commission d’organisation de la primaire".
DontTrustMe21h
Je ne vais pas all-in sur No-Royal mais honnêtement, tout autre résultat que Glucksmann premier et Faure second serait une énorme surprise. ≈25-30% pour Royal me semble ici très généreux. Faure a derrière-lui un réseau d'élus et de fédérations PS, ce qui n'est pas son cas. Et la sympathie des militants LFI qu'elle a pu recueillir ne va pas se transformer en voix dans le cadre de cette primaire au corps électoral délimité. Réponse dans moins de 24 heures.
