Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?
$334.6K Vol.Ends 19 Apr 2027
Marine Le Pen
$17.2K Vol.
89%▼2%
Édouard Philippe
$5.4K Vol.
47%▲2%
Jean-Luc Mélenchon
$18.4K Vol.
40%▲2%
David Lisnard
$144.4K Vol.
15%▲1%
Bruno Retailleau
$4K Vol.
7%
François Ruffin
$6.7K Vol.
6%
François Hollande
$12.7K Vol.
6%
Gabriel Attal
$6.7K Vol.
6%
Dominique de Villepin
$2.1K Vol.
6%
Jordan Bardella
$23.5K Vol.
5%
Gérald Darmanin
$2.1K Vol.
5%
Manuel Bompard
$5.9K Vol.
5%
Marine Tondelier
$3.2K Vol.
5%
Clémentine Autain
$4.6K Vol.
5%
Élisabeth Borne
$4.3K Vol.
5%
Juan Branco
$4.2K Vol.
5%
Olivier Faure
$2.6K Vol.
5%
Éric Zemmour
$731.3 Vol.
4%
Sarah Knafo
$5.3K Vol.
4%
Ségolène Royal
$4.7K Vol.
4%
Yaël Braun-Pivet
$3.7K Vol.
4%
Fabien Roussel
$7.2K Vol.
4%
Nicolas Dupont-Aignan
$1.9K Vol.
4%
Michel Barnier
$2.3K Vol.
4%
Sébastien Lecornu
$2.2K Vol.
4%
Carole Delga
$10.4K Vol.
4%▼1%
Bernard Cazeneuve
$5.7K Vol.
4%
François Asselineau
$1.9K Vol.
4%Clémence Guetté
$2.3K Vol.
3%▼1%
François Bayrou
$3.8K Vol.
3%
Raphaël Glucksmann
$6.9K Vol.
3%▼2%
Valérie Pécresse
$1.7K Vol.
3%
Laurent Wauquiez
$920.7 Vol.
2%
Jean Castex
$1.3K Vol.
2%
Mathilde Panot
$1.9K Vol.
2%
Xavier Bertrand
$1.6K Vol.
1%
Rules
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
Comments (4)
Poivre131d
ça arrive très tôt dis donc
SwitchMario2019131d
🤣
DontTrustMe131d
The guy behind this list of candidates must have a serious crush on Clémence Guetté. 🤨
SwitchMario2019131d
Very interesting market! 👀
