
Another pneumonic plague case in Russia by...?
$77.3K Vol.Ends 01 Nov 2026
October 31, 2026
$38.1K Vol.
5%October 15, 2026
$39.2K Vol.
1%▼1%

$77.3K Vol.Ends 01 Nov 2026
$38.1K Vol.
$39.2K Vol.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a confirmed case of pneumonic plague in a human is reported in the Russian Federation at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM Moscow time, . Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A "confirmed case" is a case explicitly identified by a qualifying source as laboratory-confirmed Yersinia pestis infection with pneumonic (pulmonary) involvement, or explicitly announced as a confirmed pneumonic plague case. Publication of the underlying laboratory results is not required. A bubonic or septicemic case that progresses to pneumonic plague qualifies. A case reported only as "plague" with no form specified, and a case described only as suspected or probable, do not qualify. The case must be distinct from the Irkutsk Anti-Plague Research Institute employee who reportedly passed away on October 1, 2026; subsequent confirmation, reclassification, or post-mortem testing of that patient will not qualify. Resolution turns on the date a qualifying source publishes the confirmation, not the date of exposure, symptom onset, or laboratory result. A report published after the deadline does not count even if the infection occurred earlier. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from Russian federal or regional public health authorities and the WHO; however a consensus of credible sources will also suffice.
Relaccsed2d
Well well well
Relaccsed2d
Not gonna happen dawg
ArthurGreen3d
I think watching for Ebola in Congo is more important tbh
ACXAbTamaeB3d
Они никогда не подтвердят это лол
Relaccsed4d
Yeah, no..
oleg554d
JUST IN: 🇺🇸🇷🇺 US Embassy urges all Americans in Russia to leave the country immediately following suspected pneumonic plague outbreak.
STONKS2284d
"There is no plague mr. Trump"
oleg554d
JUST IN: 🇷🇺🇺🇸 Russian President Putin to hold call with US President Trump to discuss the plague. SCENARIO IS PLAYING OUT
STONKS2284d
psyop
bernardbulletin5d
hola
jesusmuniz6d
mas el dicrim los guaricanso debe cuplir con la ley de ars humni poder jdicoa con plaza lama mella mas la induveca debbe 450 mil con miguel rivera el que perdio debe pagar ley poder judicol domicano