Will Trump deport 750,000 or more people in 2025?

Rules

During the 2024 FY ICE removed 271,484 non citizens (see: https://www.ice.gov/doclib/eoy/iceAnnualReportFY2024.pdf). This market will resolve to "Yes" if U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) removes 750,000 or more non citizens in the 2025 fiscal year. Otherwise, this market ill resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the FY 2025 ICE Annual Report. If the FY 2025 ICE Annual Report is not published by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be used.

Comments (26)

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  Sonmerfield279d

  Whether it hit 750k formal deportations or not is irrelevant the fear was the real policy. I’m seeing local businesses in Texas and Florida struggling to find workers because the labor force shrank by 750,000 people since last January.