GPT-5 released in 2024?
$753.9K Vol.Ends 31 Dec 2024
$753.9K Vol.Ends 31 Dec 2024
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's GPT-5 model is made available to the general public by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For this market to resolve to "Yes," GPT-5 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public. GPT-5 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5, or one that is recognized as a successor to GPT-4, similar to the progression from GPT-3 to GPT-4. Products labeled as GPT-4.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
predictordeniz656d
https://polymarket.com/event/when-will-gpt-5-be-released?tid=1734982513382
481b657d
2025
ToTheMoonAndBack660d
“oh” means “5” in korean
ToTheMoonAndBack660d
Orion is gpt5
ToTheMoonAndBack660d
Two years since the first chat, and it looks like GPT-5 is coming! 🚀 Check this out: [link removed]
6273661d
No 2024
ToTheMoonAndBack661d
Look at this!! [link removed]
Solanalover662d
to be honest, who cares when it'll be announced
Bertapotamous662d
Sam Altman already said its not happening. Easy 1 percent return
Sunpumper663d
GPT-5 is like a Skynet...
engagded664d
GPT-5 released in 2025.
ster669d
Gosh, people, here comes the reading aid: The next version will be 4.5. After that comes 5, but definitely not this year.
ster669d
"'Limited preview of GPT-4.5' seen as a new perk for ChatGPT Team in the frontend JS code" [link removed]
predictordeniz673d
It was already supposed to come on Christmas
predictordeniz673d
[link removed]
testorrrr-testing-mc-testfacey675d
hi there
Perfarator679d
Can't even imagine what GPT5 will look like
Daydrop-918680d
no chat gpt 5 this year. STOP AI
0x8D164eA951627cFafC2cc98aCd7153A3E53eC333-1730376576757684d
it
ObamaMan101689d
Gay Sam altman is going steal all your money when he releases in December 31, 2024
StonedApeMachineElves696d
O1 full. That wouldn't count tho, right? Rules not being more clear on that is....interesting.
StonedApeMachineElves696d
By the rules tho this won't be considered a GPT5 release, correct?? If not the. Fucking hell do I need to start getting money together.....
StonedApeMachineElves696d
Not OP but Altman said very clearly that it won't be this year, believe it was in the Reddit AMA. O1 will be released tho, and possibly Sora by Christmas. That'd be a good one for betting. No GPT5 tho - it should be going at2 or 3 cents right now
StonedApeMachineElves696d
Open source does light a flame under their ass tho.....20% at no I'd consider going for. I'll let ya know if I do tho, that way you could vet in them releasing cause they'd definitely release immediately after I made a bet against it happening
StonedApeMachineElves696d
I'd be interested there....if it was at 30% chance of not happening in 2025 I'd consider.....I really don't think they will tho. Well..
StonedApeMachineElves696d
It's o1 they will be releasing, probably at the end of the month. It won't be GPT5. I'd be amazed if GPT5 ever gets a release next year even.
captainamerica697d
[link removed]
gang-gang702d
what did you hear?
sarahlee704d
plsss
poppyavnor707d
Sell
annabuterina708d
hi, gpt-5 in 2025
anjorni709d
bummer, just placed a buy hearing the exact opposite. thanks for linking the convo. glad i didnt yolo
Car710d
Ha domer, beat you!
7ellur1d3710d
Altman just said no GPT-5 this year. [link removed]
9c1148e5-d02d-4e8e-851d-6e2dd620fa99716d
[link removed]
9c1148e5-d02d-4e8e-851d-6e2dd620fa99716d
OpenAI spox Niko Felix told The Verge that the company doesn’t “have plans to release a model code-named Orion this year” but that “we do plan to release a lot of other great technology.”
gkg752d
Sam Altman teasing Orion, aka GPT5 [link removed]
SpawnGod753d
Are you seriously talking sh*t for your mere $40 investment?? Your reasoning is clearly wrong. Buy "300 No" shares, and it will become clear to you.
Nyuton757d
GPT4 kind of LLM is a building block of o1. They need to keep developing it. GPT4 is useful and cheap for many tasks. Just like you don't need PhDs for all kinds of jobs.
Nyuton757d
o1 is a "level 2" AI system as defined in the 5 levels to AGI by OpenAI. This is clearly a "new series of AI models" and a "new level of AI capability". [link removed]
0x78c4…757d
Read carefully (in the same blog post): "We also plan to continue developing and releasing models in our GPT series, in addition to the new OpenAI o1 series." Clearly not GPT-5
ManL757d
It's a different model series than GPT4. Literally at the beginning of your link "We've developed a new series of AI models..."
0x208E5bB9BC77d21283EA47b48C48e061DF54252d-1723913272180758d
Read the rules: "GPT-5 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5, or one that is recognized as a successor to GPT-4, similar to the progression from GPT-3 to GPT-4. "
Nyuton758d
GPT5 has been released with a new name: O1 - "for complex reasoning tasks this is a significant advancement and represents a new level of AI capability. Given this, we are resetting the counter back to 1 and naming this series OpenAI o1." [link removed]
infiloop2760d
Can’t be a more obvious no
GrannyWeatherwax760d
GPT Next is not a new model, OpenAI has clarified : [link removed]
GrannyWeatherwax760d
Strawberry is not to be considered as GPT5,, as per the article you posted.
StormPrediction760d
Posted today: GPT 5 Strawberry expected release date of Sept 24th according to the Information: [link removed]
0x78c4…765d
It is GPT-4 NEXT
Carla768d
CEO of OpenAI Japan Announced GPT-Next will be released this year. [link removed]
SpawnGod774d
Yes, that would probably be Sora, or something whatevs...
JasonPapadopoulos792d
then why are you betting no?
JonJonesMMA793d
Sam Altman said repeatedly that they are “going to release our next big model this year“, e.g. in his Lex Fridman interview in March
CaptBluetooth801d
Let's get this market started, people. I'm buying yes at 62 cents.
