OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI in 2024?
$907.2K Vol.Ends 31 Dec 2024
$907.2K Vol.Ends 31 Dec 2024
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI or an official representative of the company announces that it has created an artificial general intelligence (AGI) by December 31, 2024 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI and/or its official representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Just634d
nice
Bitcoin-Is-The-Future646d
Polymarket is broken
predictordeniz656d
You need to propose a resolution
Erasmus.656d
We are not getting GPT-5 for Christmas
northman657d
It will clearly resolve yes.
Bramati657d
"The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI and/or its official representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used." This means that the credible reporting is independent from an official announcement.
fammmm658d
Sam Altman just said this is AGI-1 [link removed]
pierre8181658d
an employee saying o3 is agi is their opinion?
pierre8181658d
lets use the consensus of credible reporting and find out
0x34a9...d74cfd658d
Chatgpt: "An OpenAI employee can be considered an official representative of OpenAI only when acting in an authorized capacity or communicating explicitly on behalf of the organization." So it's No still.
fayde658d
The rules specifically say by an announcement by openai or an official representative. People making posts about their opinions on twitter don’t matter.
fammmm658d
yet another openai employee said that they have announced agi [link removed]
pierre8181658d
Is there polymarket support where we can ask them to resolve this?
pierre8181658d
polymarket is fucked if this does not resolve to yes. there are so many employees who have said o3 is agi
pierre8181658d
yes how does resolution happen?
Bitcoin-Is-The-Future658d
what more do we need to confirm agi?
Equanimity659d
Multiple public facing official OpenAI members have now stated that AGI has been achieved. Members of OpenAI with @openai in their bio are de facto official representatives. The fact that neither of these announcements have been retracted, despite Sam Altman and the rest of OpenAI seeing the statements publicly mean that they are as official as you can get, no different than if Sam Altman had stated it. If this doesn't resolve accordingly then Polymarket is useless
fammmm659d
the latest comment from evan mays will resolve it. he is a member of the technical staff and says that o3 is agi
fammmm659d
This reslolves the market now
fammmm659d
A member of technical staff at OpenAI says this o3 is AGI [link removed]
0x34a9...d74cfd659d
the bet is about openai, also again, it's just good score on a benchmark, that's it. arc itself said that passing that test doesn't automatically mean it's an agi. i'd sell your shares while u can, but burning money can be fun too
pierre8181659d
he is the founder of arc agi prize haha. i dont know how it gets more legit than that
Bitcoin-Is-The-Future659d
what about the o3 model of openai?
0x34a9...d74cfd659d
also the guy talking about is not Altman, not even an OpenAI employee.
0x34a9...d74cfd659d
nah, it's just a new score on a benchmark, but nice try
northman659d
Sam Altman just said that they achieved AGI. [link removed]
fayde669d
you should sell ur 6% gain
aloenmilch411670d
Probably doesn’t count due to the wording, since he is speaking for himself “in my opinion”
pierre8181670d
This should count. Vahid is pretty high in the ranks and counts as a technical representative.
northman671d
The guy that announced it is Head od Technical at OpenAI, he is a official representative. It will resolve yes.
Intuition671d
Are employees "official representatives" lol. This market is SO BAD.
northman673d
They announced it: [link removed]
northman673d
[link removed]
Felps701d
But this market is not measuring if OAI achieves AGI, but if they *say* they acchieved AGI.
ethtard707d
I have a major issue with the resolution terms of this market. Even if they make an announcement, there's not even benchmarking for determining what constitutes AGI.
omassem707d
No
tracer-tong711d
Please bro just one smart folder bro just one
pierre8181711d
[link removed]
pierre8181711d
This should resolve it:
Yourbestbet714d
I dont understand the resolution and dispute process. A hached twitter acc is a Yes? I drunked CEO sniffed phony-call is a Yes or No?
melisiado725d
no comments
butterfiydafni727d
I DONT THINK SO\
milkasan731d
no comments
tjhes740d
AGl will not be realized soon. It is estimated that an announcement will be issued in 2025.
Erasmus.759d
I am not feeling the AGI
anon3427759d
*OPENAI NEARS RELEASE OF MODEL WITH REASONING ABILITIES
bolle772d
its not about it being possible, but about if openai will claim they reached it.
0x65A3fBc92B2fE7aC5BA3E856153477bCf20dE615-1722991934959793d
bro we don't even know if AGI is possible
OneMoneyPlz846d
AGI isn't going to happen any time soon. The hype is overrated. That being said the executives behind openAI are dumb when it comes to understanding AI technology properly and just leave the work to the lower staff. Altman knows nothing about it really just a figure head. But they might announce it without realising they haven't really made it. Because of this I am staying out
MAGA4eva972d
Stupid Mexican can't even spell! 😆 and doesn't even trade
BUBASIIK983d
If you leave AGI unattended, it will make the announcement itself. Will this count?
thejoegoncalves987d
Ur down 16k skitzo
MAGA4eva1012d
ASSpalar browsing Reddit is the least surprising thing ever 🤣 what a dumb wannabe-arsonist clown!
MAGA4eva1012d
Buy 11.9, sell 12.2, TOO EASY, THANKS DUMBER!!
