Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Swedish government formed after the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve once the composition of the first Swedish government following the 2026 parliamentary elections is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office.
A party will only be considered part of the coalition if it provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify.
If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Sweden and the Riksdag.
Comments (13)
manlets1d
whyd u sell to me for 15c
M
muppet-master9d
Clown show goes on. S will try to form govenment again having failed just 4 days ago. Currently S have not even managed to get all 4 parties on their side to sit in the same room because they refuse to talk to each other...
O
OllonPiercing13d
in other words - this shit will take a long time
TheSwedishWolf13d
Magdalena Andersson (Social Democrats) has returned her mandate to try to form a government, saying that she currently sees no possibility of forming one. She specifically pointed to the Left Party’s position as the reason for ending her attempt.
This does not mean she is permanently out of the running for Prime Minister — she could return later if the political situation changes. For now, the government formation process goes back to the Speaker, who will decide who gets the next attempt.
TheSwedishWolf15d
Not after the latest scandals. Most likely they will be outside the government this election.
vinii16d
Im betting or a goverment with V or snap elections/ no deal by january 31
Why yuo put no on social demokrats but yes on the left party?
vinii20d
Smart
O
OllonPiercing20d
🤫
TheSwedishWolf20d
This market looks good on the outside. But if you look at the facts the market require the listed party to have a government by 31th of January of 2027. Which is in 133 days it took the old socialdemokrats government in 2018 134 days. This situation is also more complex.