$9.9M Vol.Ends 14 Sep 2026
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$1.9M Vol.
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$1M Vol.
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Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Delayed-Lout9d
Björn Söder from SD now open to not requiring government seats which could increase likelihood of C support Ulf Kristersson
betbuilder12d
Nej, det är nya talmansrundor i morgon. Det är väl lite 50/50 vem bollen går till.
betbuilder12d
Yes. But there are far better markets in that case. Just bet M+SD+L+KD to form the next coalition.
FaroeseNationalist12d
If this goes to a snap election Ulf should be 65-70c - S are tanking in the polls
KariSpice13d
Yeah, but even the news is partly just relying on someone else's opinion. I agree overall, though.
rexen113d
Intressant
OllonPiercing13d
yes. but not surprising. this was expected
draken0613d
Ulf fick precis i uppdrag att bilda regering och jag sålde vid 7 cent😭 dock en regering med v är väldigt osannolikt
justtryingtosurvive13d
Im not confident but odds is odds
0xA159faaeDb26b04bC47B68497e7fcD760b76a7db-178916537918213d
read the news and understand it yourself dont bet on someone elses opinion
0xA159faaeDb26b04bC47B68497e7fcD760b76a7db-178916537918213d
These new news are very interesting
Nisse090513d
People who are now selling Kristersson to make fast cash have no idea how much more he will rise. You are going to have so much fomo
KariSpice13d
Why are you so confident? What is your point, if you don't mind me asking?
justtryingtosurvive13d
tick tock clock is ticking
manlets15d
Intressant namn bror
Nisse090516d
Exactly, and that’s why Kristersson’s government needs about half of those votes to stay in power. 25,000 more for Kristersson also means 25,000 less for the opposition. In the end, of course, it all comes down to the seats. Fact is: It’s a damn close race, and investigations are currently underway in several places across the country because of possible election fraud in favor of the Left Party.
Winner120316d
its actually 50,000 votes seperating the two. not 25,000
ToothyPnX17d
keep deaming my boy looool and if u trust it that much why did u buy just 713 shares why not spend like real money
muppet-master18d
Lol, the scandals of criminal somalis infiltrating the communist party is spiraling out of control.
Nisse090519d
Police are investigating allegations of election fraud in favor of the Left Party in Borlänge. A re-election may be held there. Currently, only about 25,000 votes separate Kristersson's government and the opposition.
OllonPiercing20d
what the fuck does that even mean
Nisse090520d
After Kristersson's temporary rise to 15% here, the drop back to 11% makes this a good time to buy more shares. Kristersson is going to take off like a 🚀. The opposition is completely divided, and the Center Party will not form a coalition with the Left Party.
PiddeReal20d
Looks like there are corruption investigations regarding the left party, surely should work in favour of Ulf Kristersson
Ohyeahohno20d
are you from ohio boii🤣🤣🤣🥶
jaydenboolman20d
i love ikea
OllonPiercing20d
This market makes no sense
draken0620d
I mean i would say the chance of the reds and centerparty willingly giving up power by a reelection seems very unlikely
Nisse090520d
Here we go. Kristersson is about to 🚀
muppet-master21d
yea his boyfriend
PiddeReal21d
I mean, isn't it a bit low currently?
draken0621d
Is someone pumping ulf right now?
PiddeReal21d
I think that C will switch side.
muppet-master21d
For V to go against their own members democratically decided upon stance to require ministers would be pretty extreme. I think C and SD cave in because they're not tied as tight. Not obvious. At least I think the first attempt to form a government will fail and then Ulf might get the next chance (though he might fail too).
Fruktfisk21d
I doubt it. It'd make sense policy wise but any government supported by SD has been the red line before, and there's no reason to believe that's changing. I say V to cave eventually.
muppet-master21d
Already +99% on my yesterday bet on Ulf. Not too bad.
vinii21d
rules says it resolves on the next pm following the next election.
0x9bB203011f3c057a30B99308D5aF50944e028510-177602000803721d
Are you sure. A no on Magda seems like a good bet then
vinii21d
All resolve No
0x9bB203011f3c057a30B99308D5aF50944e028510-177602000803721d
How is it resolved if there is a need for a reelection?
Winner120321d
Hamdulla Walla
muppet-master21d
Spoiler: C will switch side. No SD ministers. That's all.
manlets21d
fuck aina bror wallah vi får paraknas av vänsterregering och skatterna som höjs
Scepsisantropia22d
Everyone speaking is a political minority. Some people stating things as if it was the common opinion. Its not. All won. All lost. Speak for yourself and your small base. People are still nice and intelligent in Sweden even though some rude mouth comments says otherwise but they are not so many irl.
vinii22d
none
Wertt122d
To many conservative mens won a lot of money here, thanks to the lunatics of Sweden. We are sad about Sweden we wish right to win.
Winner120322d
unfortunately ulf lost so i lost my polymarket bet. But the good side of the left winning is that i atleast can live on welfare for the next 4 years and order foodora on klarna. Thank you Magdalena, Mamma Wallah
ToothyPnX23d
don't worry Magdalena will be PM, hold your bag and keep trying to make people buy the dip to save you but its will not happen.
Therealsmurf23d
Kristersson fleeing the country
Poivre23d
Fuck Sweden and its IKEA
Nisse090523d
Given that it will be very difficult for Magdalena Andersson to form a government with the current opposition parties (the Center Party has stated that it will not join a government with the Left Party), I’m surprised by the vote here on Polymarket. It won’t be easy for Kristersson either, but right now the market offers a chance to almost multiply your bet here on Polymarket a hundredfold.
Cerco24d
SVT: Ulf Kristersson resigns as Prime Minister.
YourAnimeGirl24d
This election is crazy btw
snayaye24d
that's exactly what it is lad
manlets24d
Maggan haggan
AndersDL24d
I would be voting for a party who puts Sweden first if i were you
erzh24d
You'd have to say it a whole lot more times before anyone'd buy this horseshit
AndersDL24d
SD is for common sense
erzh24d
SD is for Systemic Discrimination!
KenanEvren25d
There's only like 27k votes difference, and votes are still being counted.
AndersDL25d
"neo-nazi collaborator" 🤦♂️
GollumGekko25d
It won’t be refunded , will stay open ,
FishermansFiend25d
It will be difficult for the left bloc to form a government, but I think ultimately V will be forced to accept some kind of compromise on cabinet membership, because the alternative - giving the neo-nazi collaborator bloc a chance at getting into government again - is much more disastrous than any loss of prestige or harmful precedent it would set. C has more freedom of action so has the upper hand in negotiations.
rpoy1125d
No, results will be out by thursday but they will have so much problems forming a new government so the prime minister wont be choosen in literally months most likely. Plus it is possible for a reelection and then this market would be refunded
Alexxieaz25d
apparently its a month til results are out, fml
TheSharpBettorZA25d
Centre refuse to be in a coalition with the SD, which completely rules out the right taking power.
MaxShorter25d
As a complete newbie to swedish politics, someone explain why Andersson isnt at 100% yet
saneperson25d
I already told you its going to take weeks at BEST case scenario, worst case is it takes MONTHS and a reelection will happen
FishermansFiend25d
A word of caution for people without reading comprehension: that it says "following the next parliamentary election" does not exclude a result where Magdalena is appointed after multiple elections in between. That would still be following the first election.
TheSwedishWolf26d
Forming a government will be rough. This will drag out.
rpoy1126d
It will be super hard for the left to form a government so If you are not prepared to hold for literally months then you should sell
OllonPiercing26d
and more votes are reported on wednesday which may lead to right side victory. small change but possible, has happened before
kanonmicke26d
The left side have to form a goverment with more the 50%. They need to convince an islamic communist party and a party on the right side to participate to form a socialist government. I think they will fail. The right side will convince the Center-Party to join them for another four years since they are much more alike. Fight Ulf, Fight...
pellexd26d
It is swedish people vs muslims right now.
iForgor26d
So 29th of sep or delayed further correct?
iForgor26d
(sigh) ok how long do we have to wait exactly?
SurferOfDreams26d
Word of caution for foreigners: Swedish politics are complicated, even though Magdalena represents the biggest party, they have to pull off a government without multiple attempts or new election (notice the description " following the next parliamentary election"). May look like free money on the table to bet on Magdalena but it is not risk-free.
snayaye26d
i will self deport if this happens lmao
VolodymyrIsachenko26d
Madam Minister, come back.
martinst26d
So the people of Sweden want to live under Sharia law?
saneperson26d
AKA ur gonna have to hold this for weeks (if you are lucky) and months if you are unlucky
saneperson26d
Hahaha let me explain swedish politics for you, in the coming weeks (29th september) they will have a vote and most likely magdalena wont have enough support to become prime minister, if you are lucky this vote will only happen 1-3 times if it keeps going for months a reelection will happen
SownRL26d
what are we waiting now
snayaye27d
they don't have to have justification, if you think välresultaten är nära, put $500k on magdalena NO, they will adjust. They are based on the collective knowledge of all participants. And currently they think that even though left only has a 1 mandate lead, wednesday shouldn't drastically swing the result. if you think differently, great, bet on it.
snayaye27d
i thought S and M were polar opposites historically; even though that sounds like an excellent result in my dreams
snayaye27d
then put $100k and drop her odds lower lmao
Relaccsed27d
Maggie Magdalena
mcpetrus27d
For the time being, the left side has won, but it cannot be ruled out that the overseas votes could still flip the result.
ToothyPnX27d
its 90% bc market believe it as people are msotly selling out the right side if u want it to not be 90% drop in bug money buying the right leaders shares
GrokEnjoyer27d
per grok she is winning alot though
Veckopengen27d
Magdalena Andersson should not have a 90% chance of becoming prime minister when the vote results are this close, especially given the long negotiation process before that possibility can be realized.
Molobio27d
We’ll see how this ends but there is definitely a possibility of a government with the social democrats and moderates and perhaps the greens or the center to fill up the rest of the seats. In such a government Magdalena will probably want to be prime minister but depending on which party they collaborate with there might be a possibility for Ulf as well.
Veckopengen27d
Exakt, fattar inte alls hur oddsen är motiverade
Sitrix27d
Skillnaden är nu 11988 röster, borde ju vara typ 50/50
Veckopengen27d
Varför är det så stor skillnad mellan oddsen när valresultaten är så nära? Utlandsröstare brukar väl dessutom rösta mer borgerligt?
