US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?

$2.9M Vol.Ends 20 Aug 2026

Rules

On June 14, 2026, the United States and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement (the MOU), including a 60-day negotiation period toward a “final deal”, extendable by mutual consent. This market will resolve to “Yes” if both the United States and Iran publicly and officially announce an extension of the 60-day negotiation period initiated by the MOU between market creation and August 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement must be a declarative statement of a present extension of the 60-day negotiation period, a previously-unannounced prior extension of the 60-day negotiation period, or definitive agreement to extend the 60-day negotiation period. A qualifying announcement must clearly and unambiguously identify an extension of the 60-day negotiation period initiated by the MOU. Statements that merely allude to, reference, or describe an extension, without clearly communicating it, do not qualify. However, the announcement need not use specific terminology or reference the MOU by name. A qualifying announcement must be made through official channels, by an individual acting in an official capacity. Statements made incidentally or informally in a context not intended for official communication do not qualify. The extension must be mutually announced by the United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Mutual announcement means that taken together, the announcements from the United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran directly indicate that both parties have agreed to extend the 60-day negotiation period, or have recognized a definitive extension of the period. The following do not qualify as official announcements: - Anonymous, unattributed, or leaked statements not confirmed as official; - Statements by persons not authorized to speak for the United States or Iran; - Third-party speculation, analysis, or predictions that the United States or Iran will announce or implement an extension of the 60-day negotiation period; - Satirical, fabricated, hacked, or impersonated communications; - Statements that describe a prospective, contingent, probable, or conditional extension of the 60-day negotiation period rather than announcing a present and decided position. Once an extension has been mutually announced by the United States and Iran, this market will resolve to “Yes” regardless of whether it is later reversed, or whether the extension is ever actually implemented. Resolution will be based on official information from the United States and Iran, including their official representatives.

Comments (90)

SIMOMEGA48d

yungsoleimani51d

i already sold?

MrMelonHead51d

Who’s claiming this should resolve yes?

0xbF4d20238251d

Everyone agrees the outcome is not 'Yes'; we're just waiting for someone to submit the resolution request.

AnonSequitur51d

Iran said multiple times they are not extending the MOU, clear as day. Because Iran would like still like it if the US fulfilled the obligations of the MOU does not mean they have officially agreed to extend the negotiation period. Anyone who think otherwise is a ridiculous retard. Moreover- where is the US "publicly and officially announce an extension of the 60-day negotiation period" which is required for this to resolve to Yes, even if some aforementioned ridiculous retard takes Iranian statements as an official announcement that qualifies? Moreover, there is consensus mainstream reporting that the MOU negotiation period has NOT been extended- I get that that's not a part of the resolution for this market, but it's worth mentioning to add to the ridiculousness of any claim that this should resolve to Yes.

AnonSequitur51d

I had no idea there would be ridiculous bullshit in this market. Polymarket should put up a sign that says "there will be bullshit in this market" so that people who don't want to deal with said bullshit can avoid it.

AnonSequitur51d

When is this market going to resolve?

SIMOMEGA53d

wtf is barak ravid

SIMOMEGA53d

i can

SIMOMEGA53d

you should try n brush up on your thinking skills man

SIMOMEGA53d

hes still on a monstrous positive pnl, hell be back

SIMOMEGA53d

nobody cares

SIMOMEGA53d

youre holding 2k yes shares

SIMOMEGA53d

i dont see you holding No

SIMOMEGA53d

bro come with ur main

SIMOMEGA53d

i dont wish on you good luck

SIMOMEGA53d

the pump was like weeks bro wdym, were u in a hibernation chamber?

SIMOMEGA53d

u should bet on No, but now its too late, but make back smth at least

0xC50153A437C442432079609B1945E342d56eedB6-177343892397953d

lets see , still we have 2 days haha

MrMelonHead53d

even if he says that it will still resolve no becasue Iran would never agree to extend the MOU

0xC50153A437C442432079609B1945E342d56eedB6-177343892397954d

wait for him to change his mind , soon we get the news , ´we gonna make the deal´i will give them another chance , you know how it sound when he say it , trump voice hahaha :D

hyper-liquid-xyz54d

Pack it up, time to sell the YES. - There are no talks or conversations going on, or scheduled, with the Islamic Republic of Iran. The Naval Blockade remains in full force and effect. The Hormuz Strait is open and operating. All water mines have been removed or detonated. Thank you for your attention to this matter! President DONALD J. TRUMP

0xC50153A437C442432079609B1945E342d56eedB6-177343892397954d

wait for trump news today about extending it hahahah

anoinwhowin54d

@anoin123 dont even try mate

dPredictor54d

someone is not graduating

dPredictor54d

keep dreaming bro

0xbF4d20238254d

Has Iran acknowledged the negotiations?

0x30ab…54d

Yeah the already negotiated terms. They directly denied an extension of a ceasefire or negotiations

Spirit-LT54d

Iran is giving the U.S. «a few more weeks to fulfill the terms of the memorandum», after which it will “shift from a defensive policy to a fully offensive one.” That is the extension.

adasol54d

this requires both US and Iran public statement. If it requires US alone, Trump may manipulate the result, but this is not the case. Iran will deny the extension

0x30ab…54d

Ok? Iran still doesnt seek an extension

Spirit-LT55d

In a couple of hours, he’ll say the opposite.

Car55d

TRUMP SAYS U.S. NOT SEEKING EXTENSION OF IRAN MOU

0xbF4d20238255d

Failing to extend the deadline before its expiration indicates a lack of consensus between the two sides. Post-expiry extensions are neither logical nor consistent with the current situation.

Konfucious55d

Ridgy55d

is the extension in the room with us now?

Dumpahhh55d

ITS JOVER

BrightStars55d

VROCHACHO

alpaje55d

remember what car said, bet on peace and make money I lost 50k just betting on war happening

yungsoleimani55d

@brightstars SELL YOUR SHARES DALIT DOG IS ON YOUR SIDE ITS OVER ITS OVER

ithinkthisisgod55d

oh fuck for the first time i am on same side as brightstars, poor guy wont win bcz i bought yes .

alpaje55d

should I bet on yes 5k $ make 50k $ and save my tution back??? 🧐

alpaje55d

dont worry it will be yes

BrightStars55d

same

iNeedMoreDollars55d

i overslept the pump son fml

0xbF4d20238255d

Now I know why you lost money.

Darvin77755d

Regardless of whether it wins or loses, I wish everyone good luck, friends. May logic or unpredictability prevail.

yungsoleimani55d

wait u guys thought u could inverse yungsoleimani and make money? HAHAHAHAHHAHAHAHAHAHA!

conotocaurius55d

There's a reason we call them Yestards

0xbF4d20238255d

The Iranian Foreign Ministry spokesperson’s statement was not a simple refusal to extend the negotiation period. Rather, it fundamentally rejected the validity of the premise that a 60-day negotiation window still existed. He emphasized that because the United States had already seriously violated the agreement, the 60-day timeframe itself had lost all relevance, and there was therefore nothing left to extend.

SUPERNOVA-55d

love a good sweat

MrMelonHead55d

There was no agreement to extend, it's just fake news. It's not even on Al Arabiya site.

0xbF4d20238255d

The Iranian Foreign Ministry spokesperson’s statement was a formal official policy declaration. How could it possibly change within just a few hours and end up undermining their own credibility?

Spirit-LT55d

Wait, wait, wait, bro

MrMelonHead55d

It's also not on Al Arabiya's site.

yungsoleimani55d

u do realize al arabiya isnt an iranian source right? LMAO

12beduins55d

Ali didnt hide Donald hide like rat in food cart HAHAHAHAHA

12beduins55d

The Iranian Foreign Ministry spokesperson, responding to Trump's hiding in a food truck, said: "This fear will always haunt criminals and will bury their desire for a peaceful death." The Iranian people are proud that their leaders did not fear danger and remained at their posts until the very last moment, defending the nation's honor.

Spirit-LT55d

Waiting for the U.S.

yungsoleimani55d

im laughing at every yestard except brightstars😢😢💔💔

Mr.Frog🐸55d

it doesn't matter, I've already sold everything)

0xbF4d20238255d

Was the Iranian Foreign Ministry spokesperson's statement contradicted so quickly?

MrMelonHead55d

Fake news my guy

Mr.Frog🐸55d

BREAKING 🔴The US and Iran have agreed to extend the 60-day ceasefire, Al Arabiya reports.

0x619DC40631C5f78606d17Ed1528d62898096B31C-176791576346155d

Or 0.1c, mabye!

yungsoleimani55d

i really dont make the rules man sorry not sorry

MrMelonHead55d

Good time to buy more no, will be back to 95c+ within a few hours

MrMelonHead55d

Lol people falling for fake news again.

LEGENDARY10155d

Guys never trust Al Arabiya news. Giving you a heads up

yungsoleimani55d

I dont make the rules i just fade Al Arabiya and make the money SORRY NOT SORRY

lawqi55d

Trump will unilaterally announce an extension of negotiations

0xbF4d20238255d

August 17, Tasnim News Agency: "Spokesman Rules Out Talks on Extension of Iran-US MoU"

LEGENDARY10155d

Iran FM says there is no MOU, no deadline, no extensiom. Adios!

pink.impala55d

Imagine buying this at 75ct

hyper-liquid-xyz55d

They should add a new market if US would use NUKES in Iran. Anadolu Ajansi News: The Trump administration is actively discussing using nuclear weapons on Iran in strategy meetings, per former US Congresswoman Marjorie Taylor Greene.

LEGENDARY10155d

Adios Brightstar. Thanks for the donation!

12beduins55d

you should try n brush up on your reading skills man

conotocaurius55d

Market goes till 20th but by definition there now cannot be an extension to the MOU. It would just be a new ceasefire period. Yes I can wait 4 days for all my money.

12beduins55d

But we should be really happy n greateful to live in times when its so easy to wager money on questions of this type, is US and Iran gonna extend the MoU-negotiations, this is so fire and i hope everybody appreciate!

12beduins55d

I honestly dont think its gonna happen TBH but im puttin some money anyways cuz who can really tell for sure how its gonna pan out?

Raskell55d

🤓☝️ "Barack Ravid said"

Mahnic56d

alhamdulilah

conotocaurius56d

Spending my winnings on a new Shahed 😆

LEGENDARY10156d

🤣🤣🤣

conotocaurius56d

but muh Axios and muh Pakistani sauces

BrightStars56d

we didnt make the rules

yungsoleimani56d

Watch your mouth when talking about (King) BrightStars

Isengard156d

And on the 60th day, Mojtaba proclaimed, fear not for thee will have an extension to this negotiating period

iNeedMoreDollars56d

but as a degenerate to degenerate i respect it, hopefully one day i can throw my money away like him

iNeedMoreDollars56d

BrightStars is single handedly holding this boat afloat