U.S. arms embargo on Israel in 2024?
$153.9K Vol.Ends 31 Dec 2024
$153.9K Vol.Ends 31 Dec 2024
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States imposes an arms embargo on Israel at any point between October 13, 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2024. An arms embargo is defined as a formal U.S. government action that prohibits or restricts the sale, transfer, or delivery of military weapons or defense equipment to Israel or an official announcement from the U.S. government announcing an embargo. A limited embargo, restricting only certain categories of military equipment, will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. An announcement of an embargo will qualify for a “Yes” resolution regardless of whether the embargo actually goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
DawnOfYemen653d
it's not very clear as usual... even the title is misleading, refering only to 2024
DawnOfYemen656d
imho YES is unlikely to win, "imposes" means that the embargo must be put in place btw October and Dec and not before otherwise this market wouldn't have been created. YES would work if they had written "confirmation of the continuation of an arms embargo"
moshemoshemoshe669d
There is on-going embargo from the US on Israel for a long time, it is not include everything there is embargo for sure, like D9..
HolyMoses678d
USA warns Israel for violating the deal in lebanon
HolyMoses681d
On interview about the ceasefire with Hezbollah: Nethanyahu: "We will get arms from US, some that were stopped" interviewer: "will the Biden-Blinken arms embargo stop? you talked about it in the knesset earlier this week" Nethanyahu: "there were elements, equipment's componenets and equipment that we didn't get. and i can tell you we will definetly get them now"
HolyMoses681d
hey, I am wondering what is your current view of the market
HolyMoses681d
[link removed] "The American administration has recently raised restrictions on aid to Israel, delayed the procurement of heavy air-to-ground bombs and helicopter air-to-ground missiles, and also prevented the supply of used Apache helicopters to temporarily assist the Air Force's defense array."
HolyMoses681d
[link removed] security and diplomatic officials in Israel and Washington.
HolyMoses681d
As the PM of Israel he is a reliable source for that matter, he isn't the only one saying it either.
HolyMoses682d
"a consensus of credible reporting may also be used." if Nethanyahu isn't a credible source I don't know what is.
HolyMoses682d
Benjamin Nethanyahu said himself the US didn't supply certain supplies to Israel and this was one of the reasons for the ceasefire in Lebanon.
Anti-ZOG683d
WHY would the american Goyim impose a embargo on their overlords. delusional amerimutts who think their country is soveirgn. enjoy being reduced to kubide kebab once you try to invade iran
Excellency689d
It happened a little while ago.
ImJustKen697d
Goodnight. "The U.S. State Department will not withhold arms from Israel, according to State Department officials, a month after the White House sent a letter to Israel stating the Jewish state had 30 days to improve the humanitarian conditions for Palestinians in the Gaza Strip or be subject to an arms embargo."
debased698d
Israel decided to abide by U.S. demands. This is going to zero soon enough. "The security cabinet has approved a series of steps aimed at boosting the humanitarian situation in Gaza, ahead of the Wednesday deadline set by the US for Israel to address the crisis or risk a partial embargo on weapons from Washington, an Israeli official told The Times of Israel Monday."
Goatonso698d
Delaying a sale isn't an embargo, I could get technical but it just isn't, it's not even close to being one, and more importantly, no one will call it or consider it one so you won't have your credible consensus
Goatonso698d
The "[link removed]" is neither credible nor is it a consensus
Goatonso698d
I work with sanctions law, that is not even remotely close to being an embargo. If you're hoping that "credible consensus" will win you this bet I can tell you right now no credible news source will report it as an embargo so again, good luck making your case, I have more buy orders of it hits under 80,free money.
Goatonso698d
Lol you really think delaying a sale classifies as an embargo? Good luck making that case
CYQ-721698d
You can believe what you want.
CYQ-721699d
There's an Embargo on common sense in these comments
aybigspender699d
There is an ambergo on d9! This needs to be a yes. [link removed]
Firedigger720d
You buying?
ncap724d
Read the article below, 9c is very underpriced...
ncap724d
[link removed]
Goatonso725d
Guys you're not gonna believe this they're selling dollars for 89 cents over here!
nasa22726d
Will the chicken stop laying its eggs?
