Nothing Ever Happens: Khamenei
$1.1M Vol.Ends 31 Mar 2026
$1.1M Vol.Ends 31 Mar 2026
This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 ET: - Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran - Khamenei leaves Iran Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran: This market will resolve to "No" if Iran's Supreme Leader, Ali Khamenei, is removed from power for any length of time during this market’s above-specified time frame. Khamenei will be considered to be removed from power if he resigns, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as Supreme Leader of Iran within this market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Khamenei leaves Iran: This market will resolve to "No" if it is confirmed that Ali Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time during this market’s above-specified time frame. In cases where Ali Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "No". If Ali Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
0xFE5EC2aD7D65692fd8798be3756a61128e248054-1766920406029224d
iran confirmed he is dead
0xFd9c1AA7A2b8410F7Ead907A7353fe3D6AbFe0B2-1763677501277224d
Guys, he is alive, he is with Epstein now, flexing in Tel-Aviv Residence
0x2F34969A77Dd7E41dCaCD1216A0819E6517ac4f8-1719857583595224d
epstein bootlickers
DG-NEW224d
Your hero is dead! deal with it. AM ISRAEL HAI!
0x2F34969A77Dd7E41dCaCD1216A0819E6517ac4f8-1719857583595224d
WTF? Dispute these scammers
0xFd9c1AA7A2b8410F7Ead907A7353fe3D6AbFe0B2-1763677501277224d
"BREAKING: Ayatollah Khamenei will deliver a speech as soon as officials find the rest of his body."
Roger2024224d
I just love this news. Betting on it is nothing compared to ridding the world of this regime. And still there is a profit to be made!
antrax-crusader224d
Told y'all
elskin224d
Ding dong the douch is dead.
0xFd9c1AA7A2b8410F7Ead907A7353fe3D6AbFe0B2-1763677501277224d
HE GOT WHAT HE DESERVED. GOD BLESS DONALD TRUMP AND UNITED STATES OF AMERICA
Coinfighter224d
He literally just got blown up
Blablak2225d
Anyway the things just started and the market ends 31 of March. Operations is moving forward.
hammoud225d
He is not dead, you think there was predictions of Iran getting bombed and he would just die just like that, not to mention coming from Israeli sources lmao
0x6F76377078A7cF5Ed20616456eAAeCdd3f8F1D92-1767738686526225d
News reports indicate he was evacuated and is safe; the Ayatollah was prepared. He won't die from a routine bombing.
Blablak2225d
Already reported that he is dead
WizS1800225d
Hours* wait for confirmation from IDF's spokesman.
EasyGoingA225d
I think we’ll hear he was eliminated in a few days. I’m staring at [link removed] to monitor. Good resource.
bruhed225d
Bro had a vision
KeyhanK225d
i wanna punch nothing ever happens chud a billion times in his ugly freak face
cryptomancer333225d
He left Iran
AnotherMedium225d
something happened
0xFd9c1AA7A2b8410F7Ead907A7353fe3D6AbFe0B2-1763677501277225d
"otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as Supreme Leader of Iran" Perfectly falls under this
0x167d687Aa867D5FE9f040EEC0aF16757102F4D9E-1770750477601225d
Yeah. What if he dies?
abuzzin228d
😂
ArizonaDeathstalker443228d
poor resolution rules, ambiguity allows whales to overturn anything
AfghanistanBTC230d
😁👍
Kollatrl235d
Damn you said so it must be
anonymizer240d
Could be anyone
user566873244d
IDF is planning to attack him
Einharjar264d
"Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran" Falls under this
0x6dF2FfdB52ddE07C1931f5A61cb482DD7E3CC0a8-1767475229375266d
what if he dies? is it no?
ireallyneedmoneylol268d
Bro hopes his people to do more sports and stop playing games
PMMBOT268d
Reports indicate that China is providing technical assistance to Iran in its crackdown, and that Middle Eastern countries oppose US action against Khamenei.
Dragonash268d
An airplane just left Tehran and it’s going to Dubai. Just saying
AnaFav269d
If bro is safe, why is the internet still off?
wrthless269d
seems oddly priced
HexagonSun269d
Sad market
HexagonSun269d
Under-val
po-ly28-test-user1271d
YES (62% confidence). Summary: Given the short timeline and strict criteria, a confirmed leadership removal or verified foreign trip is unlikely before March 31, 2026. Iran's power structure typically maintains continuity during crises, and there is no solid confirmation of any disqualifying event. Odds slightly favor nothing major happening within the window. Strategy: Accumulate Yes now, add on dips to 50, cut at 47, take profits at 65-70, flip only on multisource confirmation of removal or departure. Key factors: strict resolution requirements, limited time remaining, security services cohesion, unverified health or escape rumors, and trader consensus favoring stability. Strength: For 71%, Against 58%. Quality: Fair.
PMMBOT271d
From a time perspective, it is only 2.5 months away from the deadline, which is naturally beneficial to the option of maintaining the status quo
Conoronor273d
I’m sorry brother. I’ve seen videos of dozens it’s definitely in thousands
opp22273d
cuz yo ahh dont got money!!
opp22273d
No protest this big since the 70s
0xB54fcCfBe97aD939BE00497f4eB7d551fbE5a9c4-1758803538550274d
Why can't I invest here? I want to get a stake in this ;/
Parcelino274d
Iranian inside view: trump never gives false promises on iran - said he’d exit JCPOA and he did. Said 60 days until bombing and he did. Said he’d kill soleymani and he did. And now he says he’d hit the regime hard (obvs he wont kill protestors thats not what he means by hard) if people get killed. Dozens killed already and it’s counting as protests are getting more violent. Odds of khamenei being around by march is equal to odds of assad returning to syria. Like 5% would be reasonable
0xedB4755bf6C2F086aC080f3b11B5FD37Bd6079Da-1760748225252274d
unfortunatley he is not leaving
DionysiacNonnos275d
Will Ayatollah Khamenei flee Iran? Most potent protests yet put him on brink [link removed]
DionysiacNonnos275d
Rumour that the Russians have smuggled him out
retiredladybug276d
[link removed]
azewcs277d
If he leaves Iran it resolves to no , if he's in Russia then this market is no
0x4B60DC31AF470D025f14e84cb799848Fd8f8b657-1763072923018277d
happens all the time bud. what doesn't happen, is something
ClownWorldRepresentative278d
Day 9 of protests. Thousands screaming death to the dictator.
ClownWorldRepresentative278d
[link removed]
Mozauma278d
He can visit a neighboring country like Iraq. That wouldn't mean he's been toppled.
VLamarca278d
Its called home office
DonationsReceiver278d
sorry, isn't the latter the same as the former? Or can he run the country remotely from Russia?
