2024 August hottest on record?
$3.6M Vol.Ends 31 Aug 2024
$3.6M Vol.Ends 31 Aug 2024
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for August 2024 shows an increase greater than that of any prior August when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". At the point the data for August 2024 is first released, it will be compared to all previous data points for August, and if 2024 August is higher than all previous data points, this market will resolve to "Yes". Note: If 2024 August is tied for highest with another year, it will NOT suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" - it must be higher. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Aug" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for August 2024 is provided by NASA by December 1, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.
DonaldEnjoyer761d
I was gonna get so rich off of this wtf :(
456ythgbvcadscvb761d
Retards lost again? Whoa
aenews2761d
It was published like an hour and 14 minutes ago, 11AM ET
4d3s761d
How is it possible to close this bet before data was published by NASA ?
aenews2761d
I also have a few Y shares there
aenews2761d
I think it will, but only 87% confident there cause it's more narrow than this one
aenews2761d
Thanks!
aenews20761d
130 was a lock GGS to all the tards.
aenews20761d
LFG YALL ARE DUMB
siim761d
gg fellow degens, it was a good ride 🫡
Halfsaxk761d
:(
ElSigma761d
Impressive. And congrats
aenews2761d
In a surprise to no one, the final is 130. Congrats and condolences to all, and see you in the next market.
tsybka761d
oh no
RememberAmalek761d
wow that's soooooo shocking!
aenews3-470761d
LA NINAAAAAA
ElSigma761d
Ok... we got your point, you have something against aenews2. Could you please stop spamming?
efren1983761d
again spamming jaja
aenews3-470761d
June 121 July 121 August *** BUY NO.
Nico-vrn761d
[link removed].gov/gistemp/release_[link removed] today at 11am EDT
SLEEPYJOE-608761d
Google it
efren1983761d
what time NASA go to publish?
babendums761d
No is cheap here, good luck degens!
aenews2761d
Implies hottest in GISTEMP
siim761d
Notable that, according to the ERA5 dataset "August 2024 was the joint-warmest August globally (together with August 2023), with an average ERA5 surface air temperature of 16.82°C, 0.71°C above the 1991-2020 average for August. "
siim761d
Published a few days ago, and the data has been around, so not breaking news. But still interesting.
siim761d
[link removed]
aenews3-470761d
No is going to win.
Hussieny761d
98.8??! what a ridiculous odds
Hussieny761d
he has the liquidity plus a following base that makes these markets resolved before you even start looking at the data
Hussieny761d
There's no liquidity unless you bet against aenews, and the dude doesn't miss... and the month he was against the majority, i was with the majority,, this suckksss,, hope another august comes soon... saying this in the comments lowers the odds of this happening, but fuck it
breadfish761d
Why is no 1%?
BennyS761d
What’s your favourite anime?
aenews3-470761d
That's Real Data.
siim761d
This account has been spamming and faking, don't trust. If this were real, you'd have even the slightest bit of proof to show.
aenews3-470761d
According to the available data, the average GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index for August 2024 was 20.91°C, which is the second-highest value on record for the month, with only a 0.07°C difference from August 2023.
aenews2761d
Post picture with Imgur, definitely don't believe that
aenews3-470761d
DATA JUST LEAKED: IT'S A TIE!
aenews3-470761d
You did not parse the data correctly. I'm getting 119 every time.
aenews2761d
Where are you getting your information? The anomaly is roughly 130.
aenews3-470761d
You should have sold for profit when you had the chance. There will be little to no increase in temperature. It's a Tie.
aenews2761d
There's no mud. It'll likely be hotter in every single database. Won't be remotely close in GISTEMP. Last month was divided, and actually very close.
siim761d
No is absolutely underpriced here. The data is muddy enough that it's pretty clear that no isn't a 1% chance. The whales are selling off their positions incrementally to try to not spook the market, just check the activity tab.
ParthMehta761d
All the best... Wish u make money on this.
ElSigma761d
I hope they are wrong 😬
ParthMehta761d
No seems underpriced and feel like throwing few dollars on No. But holding myself because I see profitable big whales sitting on YES. I trust them more than myself.
aenews2762d
We are in ENSO Neutral, not La Nina. And the incoming La Nina is a weak La Nina. I don't understand if you are just trolling or this retarded.
aenews3-470762d
Ya and what come after is LA NINA !!!!
aenews2762d
El Nino has been over for 3-4 months, not really relevant
aenews3-470762d
If you mean El Nino is finally over you are correct. [link removed]
aenews2762d
Looks like the pump is finally over
aenews3-470762d
LA NINAAAAAAA
aenews3-470762d
I am a degen pile of shit.
aenews3-470762d
We are going below average folks. 50 Pence is making a big mistake do not copy trade. [link removed]
aenews2762d
Assuming 2023 remains at 119, 2024 needs be at least 120. In reality, it'll be about 130.
BabyYoda12762d
thanks. You seem like a nice guy. DK why people call you a degen pile of shit
aenews3-470762d
The Real Batman don't go down with the ship you can't afford it. This is going NO.
aenews3-470762d
120
BabyYoda12762d
Hi! What will the exact number required to be for it to finish as hottest on record?
BabyYoda12762d
What will the exact number required to be for it to finish as hottest on record?
aenews3-470762d
LA NINA hitting the Atlantic Earlier than expected. Might start selling YES shares.
aenews3-470762d
Big Mike eats out my butt then copies my trades.
SLEEPYJOE-608762d
sharp.
WxRx762d
[link removed]
aenews3-470762d
Big Mike text The Real Batman and tell him to buy more of our bags. I want to go bet on Beetlejuice Bonds!
aenews3-470762d
Send it Lower!
aenews20762d
Looking so hot yeah
aenews2762d
Ignore. It's a troll. Tho you should dump your N fr.
siim762d
Fake account. Ignore.
aenews3-470762d
Thinking about dumping my bag into that bid ... need more dry powder for bonds.
siim762d
Fake account. Ignore it.
siim762d
Yes, this is a fake account. Ignore it.
BabyYoda12763d
are you an imposter?
Tibo763d
it's a fake acc
efren1983763d
are you selling now?
efren1983763d
what link...is only manipulation :)
aenews3-470763d
as promised Buy Order for No Set at 1.4.
aenews3-470763d
hit market summary generate above
aenews3-470763d
This will be a Tie or Lower Hold your No Shares!
aenews3-470763d
No you don't
PanosMariolis2001763d
aenews I have an order at 1.1 are u interested ?
Bolenath763d
source?
morisarm763d
link?
morisarm763d
I'm still adding to no, hope noers will get this one :)
aenews3-470763d
ae-projection (Final): 119
aenews3-470763d
ae news how about you apologies to the people you've scammed over the years? [link removed]
aenews3-470763d
How about you apologieze to all the people you scammed over the years: [link removed]
0xFfB30b16a7255C4633700457e12459b62F8DaD95-1722054758695763d
Think about it.
biden886763d
It's really hot this year
aenews2763d
I expect an apology once the data releases in a few days
efren1983763d
boxoffice page is managed for who? polymarket? :)
0xFfB30b16a7255C4633700457e12459b62F8DaD95-1722054758695763d
Only fools believe posts to the comments section.
aenews2763d
Wdym
aenews3-470763d
Fade aenews2 and learn how she manipulates the comment section: [link removed]
aenews3-470763d
Theres no Liquidity ya moron. You'll never get out with real profit only paper gains.
aenews2763d
Thanks, keep coping while I win both bets
aenews3-470763d
you spray and pray like a true larp. Your technical analysis is really top notch.
aenews2763d
Beetlejuice is a bond, wdym lol
aenews3-470763d
Please risk 217k to make 700 dollars. It's a really good deal.
aenews3-470763d
I can't manage my bankroll and never keep dry powder. I promise im not trying to get you to buy my worthless bags.
aenews3-470763d
Ya I cant wait 3 days because I want to buy more beetlejuice box office lotto tickets. Larp Harder.
aenews2763d
As promised, I have a nice sell stack at 99.3c since I'm running low on cash. I recommend folks with N sell before they go to zero.
