Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?
$113.4K Vol.Ends 01 Jan 2027
Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?
$113.4K Vol.
1%
$113.4K Vol.Ends 01 Jan 2027
$113.4K Vol.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan announce their intention to divorce between the date of market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement by the specified date of their intention to divorce will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market. The resolution source will be statements from Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan, and their representatives, however a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.
WHATURTLE89d
How would you buy US bond by USDT?
0xe090BFf1FaA47b0859D54B87726C9001Ba191B49-1762582253483156d
这么弱鸡的赌盘😵💫
0x485C5856549F3B6eaEAa074dd84e512eF20DFFE3-1770816349575166d
whats wrong with this?
DontTrustMe181d
Has there even been a rumour about that lol?
YangYuxiang214d
好荒谬的市场
Ycyfufu216d
一点都不值得
Wordsmith222d
worth a shot
deherminator254d
lol you're right I thought it was 2026, fair cop
Dankwizart420254d
you have a bet out to march 2027 bro, not much to gain there
deherminator257d
Just a heads up: buying NO at ~98.6% means tying up your money for about a year to make roughly 1% if you’re right. You can earn several times that with risk-free options like Treasuries. Fine as a belief bet, but not a great way to grow money.
deherminator257d
Profit if you win: 1.4%. Takes 11 months to resolve. Inflation rate over that time is 6%. That's a net loss of 4.6% even if you win. Terrible hold for no holders. You can make much more with less risk on bonds.
deherminator257d
if you buy a US 1-year bond, you receive 4.8% at the end of the year, if you buy this market at 'NO', you earn at max 2.3%, if you invest in the stock market, returns of 10%+ are entirely normal, in short; everyone holding NO is losing money and they should sell. I agree Xi will not divorce, but you'll still lose money on this market in purchasing power
deherminator257d
for example, a US bond, which is entirely risk-free dollar wise, will earn you 4.8% over the year.
deherminator257d
this market is a bad bet, you lose money 7% to inflation and gain 1% (if you win)
echo64272d
is-the-publisher-has-the-best-sense-of-humor-in-the-world would be better
ManBOOOO273d
?
wsmitpwtind278d
will-the-us-confirm-that-aliens-exist-before-2027 is better
DonaldPatrick284d
no
