Will Trump sanction Russia before March?
$394.7K Vol.Ends 28 Feb 2025
$394.7K Vol.Ends 28 Feb 2025
On January 22, Donald Trump published a post on Truth Social, stating that Putin should make a deal to end the war in Ukraine, or the United States would impose new sanctions on Russia. You can read that post here: https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/113872782548137314 This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially imposes new sanctions of any form against Russia between January 21 and February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Sanctions could include measures like tariffs, trade restrictions, financial penalties, diplomatic expulsions, travel bans, restrictions on specific individuals, or any other actions that are commonly recognized as sanctions. The passage of an official act/executive order authorizing sanctions on Russia within this market's timeframe will count toward a "Yes" resolution, even if those sanctions do not come into effect until after this market's resolution date (e.g. https://www.state.gov/division-for-counter-threat-finance-and-sanctions/ukraine-and-russia-sanctions). The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Gerwis589d
rules say "new sanctions"
Leetton589d
But does the extension of old sanctions count as a Yes?
Gerwis591d
The most ridiculous event before this market resolves "US President Donald Trump is set to extend existing sanctions on Russia for another year, according to a White House document scheduled for release on February 28"
emaminek593d
it's ongoing by definition until the resolution date
autosre594d
is this still ongoing or what???
0x6390bd3b91b197c3612a616c7B851459CeC81874-1734779369003601d
$-3000 retard, get back to disavowing all your accounts, dumbass LMAO
0x6390bd3b91b197c3612a616c7B851459CeC81874-1734779369003601d
get back to lying about how much you LOST, ASHAMED DECRAP always disavowing his accounts LMAO what a retard
0x6390bd3b91b197c3612a616c7B851459CeC81874-1734779369003601d
$-3000
b1wf1601d
This case means that polymarket can control everything!
MaximizingLosses602d
Lemme know when you gonna sell, Mr. Car
MaximizingLosses602d
You could vote using your money. Anyone can.
MaximizingLosses602d
At some point, Polymarket really should set up some sort of tutorial section to explain how the markets work
Bobbay602d
Some person sits and decides for the entire market how profitable it is for him to steal other people’s money! This is what it looks like! maybe the court will sort it out?
Bobbay602d
This is how you steal other people's money! This is a deception! You do not have the right to introduce a resolution several hours before the certification of the opening of state documents - this is judicial practice! Submit your resolution before voting begins! Fraud and deception, insider information and theft!
Gerwis602d
"This action builds on last year’s trilateral cyber sanctions with Australia and the United Kingdom against Russian ransomware actor Alexander Ermakov and members of the Evil Corp ransomware group." These sanctions were against the Russian state
aenews-915602d
UMA settled to Yes, but Polymarket is overriding the Oracle via clarification. So SOL probably, unless new developments by end of month.
GeopoliticRanger603d
I don't usually agree with Car, but this is one the times I 100% do
Gerwis603d
These sanctions are clearly part of a broader strategy targeting Russian government-affiliated cyber operations. The legal framework and context indicate that these actions are clearly targeting Russian state-linked entities. I can’t believe this market still hasn’t resolved to "Yes."
Gerwis603d
The additional Zservers sanctions from February 11, 2025 further this broader effort against Russian state cyber threats [link removed]
Gerwis603d
The OFAC designation from October 1, 2024 sanctioned members of the Russian-linked Evil Corp cybercriminal group. In the press release they clearly say that this group has ties with Russian government [link removed]
Gerwis603d
The OFAC designation from January 23, 2024 clearly identifies these measures as targeting Russia-related cyber operations [link removed]
Gerwis603d
The Zservers press release [link removed] explicitly states that these sanctions build on last year’s trilateral cyber sanctions with Australia and the U.K. against Alexander Ermakov (January 23, 2024) [link removed] and sanctions on Evil Corp (October 1, 2024) [link removed]
MaximizingLosses603d
Thank God I sold before NOs started crushing the market
Bobbay603d
I'm a progoosova P4, I'm a loss both on the drive and on the shutter, although it's you in both directions! How do you do it? This is the same violation of decentralization!
Bobbay603d
Yes 70.57% (12,929,393.43)
MrNFT603d
its time for poly to clone uma and allow everyone to vote fair!
0x9b65…603d
STOP THE STEAL
bigshort603d
true. the additonal context sabotages the fundamental principles!
🐥🥚🐣603d
We might get lucky in the next two weeks if there are more sanctions
Car603d
Why not just drop UMA, Polymarket?
🐥🥚🐣603d
Polymarket clarified this doesn't count so now we have to wait for new sanctions in the next two weeks.
duderr603d
DRAGGED THROUGH THE MUD
duderr603d
YET HIS NAME WAS BESMIRCHED
duderr603d
[link removed] SPOKE ONLY TRUTH
duderr603d
POLYMARKET.COM
duderr603d
INSTEAD A MUCH GREATER EVIL HAD TO INTERVENE
duderr603d
UMA DID NOT PULL THE RUG ON THIS BLESSED DAY
duderr603d
UMA SAID ITS A YES
duderr603d
[link removed] said its a YES
🐥🥚🐣604d
not even safe to propose from that lame clarification, insta-lose $750
mr.ozi604d
What a shit show. I asked Polymarket for a clarification two days ago when this whole rules-cucking began, and we get it at the very end of an UMA vote. Jeez.
Bobbay604d
Yes 58.63% (7,536,156.13)
Bobbay604d
Why are we holding a vote, this is open deception and fraud! How can you make such statements when the opening of votes is almost over and the market is alive!
Liquidifier604d
The clarifications doesn't matter at this point if no further action is taken. All the votes are in.
GeopoliticRanger604d
Polymarket absolutely should intervene if UMA is trying to pull off a scam, their only mistake in this case was doing it way so damn late
Liquidifier604d
Genuine question, how does it work from now on? Is Polymarket going to intervene?
GeopoliticRanger604d
Very late clarification, don't blame people for feeling scammed
ChowSplitsTimeline604d
this clarification is scammy
Aragorn-II604d
Correct clarification imo, but sooo late.
duderr604d
crazy to clarify so late
Tenebrus7604d
Well thanks for the clarification but that could have come earlier, not when UMA voted more and more yes and sold 2/3 of the position to derisk
Jest55604d
I advise you to go through the latest UMA discussion and reasoning. Not anyone has provided valid reason why this should resolute rather YES than NO. Would be surprised if this resolutes to YES based on Zserver sanction.
aenews-915604d
Sanctions could include measures like tariffs, trade restrictions, financial penalties, diplomatic expulsions, travel bans, restrictions on specific individuals, or any other actions that are commonly recognized as sanctions.
56uyrthjrt756604d
Government of russia or Government official. Not private company or individual
aenews-915604d
Doesn't need to be the government of Russia
56uyrthjrt756604d
and even if you coulkd hypotethically prove that the entity is still a separatey entity from government of russia
56uyrthjrt756604d
Can you prove they are backed/owned by kremlin?
Jest55604d
Excactly it states first "sanctions on Russia" then second time "sanctions of any form against Russia" and after that going into more detail what these sanctions could be, but clearly implicating actions against Government of Russia. Not private company or individual. This must has been the original idea when this market was created.
aenews-915604d
Market does not require that at all. I think a random individual wouldn't work, but an entity is at least indirectly receiving support or being condoned by the Kremlin seems enough to me. Arguable either way, tho.
56uyrthjrt756604d
If you have any ability to read the context on this market it is about sanctions on "Russia" or individuals that are related/working to "Government of Russia".
0x9b65…604d
STOP THE COUNT
