Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?
$544.5K Vol.Ends 01 Jan 2027
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?
$544.5K Vol.
2%
$544.5K Vol.Ends 01 Jan 2027
$544.5K Vol.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No." For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Bitcoinchadwins40d
Why are all the Trump out as president monthly props whether through resignation or impeachment not renewing? Wake up admin we wanna gamble. Looks so suspicious they aren't renewing. Lol
shadowwizardmoneygang159d
roflmao nice glgl
0x929a8Eb9bE3Dc9Fa54970F10b8195766F1095ab4-1774939223503165d
Then what if he actually resigns, but doesn't announce it? If he just signs his resignation paper and goes off to the golf course, and leaves it to others to tell the world?
cmanwahoo172d
"For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market."
lil-b179d
I have made a grave mistake
lil-b179d
What is trump re-signing? Why would something need his signature twice? I'm going to buy NO because typically presidents only sign a document one time, and signing it another time does not give it any more power. In fact, I challenge you to find me ANY document signed by Trump twice. You guys that think another signature matters legally are going to make me so rich!!!!
Sourbreadfan189d
Obviously not.
polmar001191d
if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency what if he says he will resign but he's not resigning?
MessiFan10202d
What if trump says somehting like «i will resign IF (xyc) happens». ?
matz268d
trump can resign withouth specifically taking those words into his mouth, making this will trump resign market resolve to no when trump literally resigns
ProulxS269d
Correct. As per rules that would be an immediate No. There are other markets such as Out of presidency which include death and being "kicked out"
ProulxS269d
? Out by any means before end of March versus resign during the year. That's two very different markets. This market here only goes to yes if he resign. Any other means of leaving office is a no as per the rules
0561272d
LOL
reruru292d
jeeez 7%, whilst the market Trump out as President by March 31? is down to 5%
0xf35jsv80u3nos0uvsd294d
seems clear enough to me, whats the actual problem here?
0xf35jsv80u3nos0uvsd297d
He is more likely to be hit by an asteroid than to willingly resign
0x7fBA2F55972586d71739f7613402E032Dd8972f5-1764241582870318d
So if he dies or is kicked out it's not a win? Is that correct?
DFK330d
Welcome to PM
Pknox1932349d
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Pknox1932349d
Change the fucking name for this market
0xf35jsv80u3nos0uvsd374d
I don't see a world where he willingly resigns, to be honest. If anything, he is more likely to be assasinated or die of natural causes. The only people voting 'yes' probably didn't even read the rules. Someone pls correct me if I am mistaken
0x30ab…380d
Funnily you are completely right
Porx382d
It's more profitable than American bonds, and I think even safer.
pompidom403d
Impeachment? Just don't resign. He still has to resign himself. It's like asking a corrupt judge to put himself in jail. Won't happen.
pompidom403d
Trump is not Richard Nixon. Because he does not abide by the impeachment process. Republicans have learned from the Nixon impeachment. And when do American senates every reach a 2/3rd majority for anything. That would require a lot of defectors.
TinnedFish404d
I guess Richard Nixon is a figment of my imagination then
kmpcapital404d
Its kinda smart to resign if the things related to Epstein become more plausible, and his sickness would be a good excuse, in that way, you don't affect the market sentiment
masnjr404d
No. "If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."".
0xeb543503DDA95C328Ed0105F58D9fcdf055baFde-1756751939684405d
Does death count as a resignation?
pompidom407d
This market is stupid. It doesn't matter if Trump is doing bad in polls, politics, policy or policing. So this market basically sets a 9% chance for a health event that is SO bad that he will resign. Biden got in the first stage of dementia/parkinson (whatever it is) and didn't resign. American presidents don't resign. They reign or they die.
