Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
$634.3K Vol.Ends 01 Jan 2027
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
$634.3K Vol.
98%
$634.3K Vol.Ends 01 Jan 2027
$634.3K Vol.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 2026 US Midterm Elections happen on November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
0x64AA3F2869DE45F6121f6760288432D19681E774-1763311387317124d
Now getting mine after following tourists on X /post/status/2063934558093869379
Sevencostanza159d
Yeah we need more clarity here like @cryptonesiac says, what if elections are cancelled in one or more states but not all states? If that happened, would the midterms be considered "not to have occurred as scheduled" because for the voters in impacted districts this was the case?
adulnevergiveup167d
我认为不会如期进行，随着战争的进行，美国民众对于川普的意见其实是变得越来越大的；而川普是一个非常擅长作弊的人，他一定会采取一些措施来推迟或者规避中期选举
AmericaOnly213d
Buying no as a bet that some false flags happen in USA triggering Martial Law
nw91219d
Reminder that this has been a decent proxy for US Civil War up to that one getting nuked, and also that we need "Which markets will Poly shut down before resolution?" including this one
DoigenesVS249d
Trump said “We should take over the voting, the voting in at least many — 15 places. The Republicans ought to nationalize the voting.”
GollumGekko253d
u might be cookin bro, fill me!
Helgef253d
What if the elections take place on election day but it is widely understood that they will have no effect due to government shut down initiated purposefully by the trump admin?
Snow-White256d
$ -7 btw, which is a lot of money to you
Snow-White256d
that's right little broke phaggot, get your Two Minutes Hate in for Russia and North Korea - anything to keep your low-IQ mind occupied from thinking about what a POOR, STUPID, IMPOVERISHED dumb piece of SHIT you are, HA HA HA! Have fun STAYING POOR while FANTASIZING about the quality of life the Russians and North Koreans have and you will NEVER EVER GET!
cryptonesiac267d
but in some states the elections would not occur at all. Not rigged or manipulated, but cancelled or postponed. Still hope Polymarket comes with better defined rules
hl133267d
As scheduled implies they happen the exact date. That scenario would just mean the elections occured but are being rigged
cryptonesiac267d
"happen as scheduled" - what exactly is scheduled? Say 40 States are allowed to vote, the others are occupied by the army and are not allowed to vote. Does it mean it's still happening as scheduled, or would the market resolve in a NO
hl133267d
I mean of course the elections still occured. Elections occur in Russia and North Korea as well.
cryptonesiac267d
What if for example one State is excluded (nothing is impossible with that orange clown). Did the elections happen as scheduled or not?
hl133268d
Even if voters are supressed its irrelevant to the election happening
hl133268d
Why? This clearly only bets on the election happening not that voter suppression or rigging wont occur
cryptonesiac268d
More specific rules are needed on this one
Madoge268d
If immigration agents really show up at California polls like Newsom is predicting, it might as well be 'canceled' for thousands of voters.
