Will Russia abandon Syrian naval base before April?

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia abandons the Tartus Naval Facility in Syria by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, "abandon" is defined as Russia ceasing all military operations and withdrawing all personnel from the facility. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Comments (80)

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  siick586d

  damn too late it’s already over

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  foxmailRabit587d

  Nasty wordplay

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  TrumpDaddy88588d

  So what's going on with this market?

• I

  Imbarus590d

  again, this market does not factor in PMCs. If russia withdraws conventional units but still leaves PMCs to "guard" something left in Syria, this market resolves to "No" if those PMCs are stationed in Tartus, while the other one resolves to "Yes"