Serbia Parliamentary Election Winner

Parliamentary elections to elect the 250 members of the National Assembly of Serbia are scheduled to take place on October 25, 2026. This market will resolve to the electoral list that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Serbia as a result of this election. Electoral lists will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more lists are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vo

$889.5K Vol.Ends 25 Oct 2026

Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia
$437.6K Vol.
61%▼1%
Student List – Students Win
$444.2K Vol.
39%▲1%
Ivica Dačić – Factor of Stability!
$1.9K Vol.
<1%
Rasim Ljajić – Humane (SDP – CDP)
$1.8K Vol.
<1%
Alliance of Vojvodina Hungarians – Dr Bálint Pásztor
$650.8 Vol.
<1%
Usame Zukorlić Movement for Unification
$573.5 Vol.
<1%
Russian Party – Serbia in BRICS – Slobodan Nikolić
$785.3 Vol.
<1%
Authentic Right – Dr Miloš Jovanović
$446.6 Vol.
<1%
European Serbia – Marinika Tepić, Zdravko Ponoš
$581.7 Vol.
<1%
SDA of Sandžak – Guardians of Sandžak
$878.4 Vol.
<1%

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Comments (108)

WhaleWatch-9036215m

winer1157 spent 4881,91 Dollars on Student List – Students Win outcome Yes. Profit so far: 639,80 Dollars. That position is printing money right now.

StarMaster1h

same script as colombia election

X12345673h

Here's where it gets interesting: vsdiz1337: 280,748 YES shares, approximately $412,000 in purchases. sumolive: 174,168 NO shares, account opened October 5. taxmoney: 175,354 NO shares on "Vučić Next PM", withdrew $22,377 on October 5. Same operator: The wallet that received taxmoney's withdrawal transferred $67,000 to fund sumolive just minutes later. This strongly suggests taxmoney and sumolive are controlled by the same entity. Three questions: 1. Why would vsdiz1337 repeatedly pay 5.63% in taker fees to buy liquidity supplied by sumolive? 2. If taxmoney and sumolive are effectively the same operator, could vsdiz1337 also be coordinating with them? 3. How meaningful is a 60% probability if half the buying activity comes from trades involving the same counterparty?

Zabahudin7h

Ako usmnjas u kampanju kurir je kacio snimak polymarketa

Zabahudin7h

Nije on pametan njih boli kara za ove pare oni rade kampanju

0xe6b9DA3360C0572e055188657Ed32eD98F15f9A6-17906028865969h

Srpska napredna stranka (SNS), na čijem je čelu godinama bio Aleksandar Vučić, kontroliše gotovo sve lokalne samouprave u Srbiji, što uključuje gradonačelnike i predsednike opština u preko 90% do 95% gradova i opština ( PAMETNOM DOSTA)

pooshpool17h

sns volumen uplata 345,512 blokaderska lista 362,716.......

vatafak17h

Polako, ima jos 2 nedelje. Cekam pravi momenat, da se jos malo izlozite da pobedjujete. Kupuj jos, da pametni ljudi vise zarade.

vatafak17h

So you lied, that's your subjective feeling only. Numbers say otherwise.

Tv1234517h

tako je,on sa 350k je glup a ti sa 50$ si pametan...zato nam i ide ovako naopako

X123456718h

Nisu to njegove pare to su pare od stranke, pardon, od sindikata.

nape.18h

Ovaj vsdiz1337 ce izgubiti $350k. Majmun glupi hahahahahhaha

X123456718h

Tebi gazda nije dao ukradene pare kao ovim njegovim da mu drzis kvote? Sta ti radis na platofrmi za kladjenje? Botujes ili se kladis?

vatafak21h

Znas po cemu tacno? SL je odustala od kampanje, nisu imali nijedan veliki skup otkako su raspisani izbori. ChatGPT program je supalj kao sir, po bitnim pitanjima se ne izjasnjavaju. Kupili su te bilborde i to je to, a ovaj je u 20 gradova i sela svaki dan.

Zabahudin1d

znas da pada

Zabahudin1d

hahahhahaahh ako zivis u srbiji

0xe6b9DA3360C0572e055188657Ed32eD98F15f9A6-17906028865961d

Realno SNS je teska masinerija tesko moze neko to zaustavit

lucytah1d

Sta rizikuju sa max bet limitom od 10.000rsd, a i to je ako ti daju da uplatis na studente jer je prava kvota 1.5 a ne 1.8?

Tv123452d

vidim ti kupujes kidas😆

Zabahudin2d

vraca se cena nema sns bot toliko para koliko imamo mi kolektivno

Kqzhqzh2d

Ma haos

WiseColibri2d

Odds markets are basically people reflecting the mood on the ground and right now people are fired up, pissed off and absolutely fed up with Hulja

vatafak2d

What odds market, can you name them?

Zabahudin2d

dada

anarhislav2d

Imaju beskonacno para i treba im uzeti sve :D

Zabahudin2d

ovo je najbolja poziciija koju mozete da dobijete

Zabahudin2d

hahahaahahah ljudi sada kupujte

X12345672d

Mozes da zamislis minus na racunu koji je biodanas u 9:22 AM...

Kqzhqzh2d

Sace punomocni da uplacuje opet

WiseColibri2d

I guess people are finally realizing how mispriced the student list was.... I mean It’s at 50% now when realistically it should be above 70% based on pretty much every odds market and analysis out there so yeah it's still mispriced tho

0xbBaD5Bd7cBdA60ea3B0d076c450F190E62C8dFdf-17820948309282d

Aco Srbine Aco Srbine 😂

StarMaster2d

Colombia election vibes

X12345672d

Ne pisem ja nego AI agenti koji prate ovaj market pa mi salju vesti, ako vidim da je nesto zanimljivo ja iskopiram, koga ne zanima ne mora da cita.

WiseColibri2d

pa to je svima jasno... sto pises te genericke poruke?

X12345672d

Look at nedjeljko, now the #3 YES holder here with 4,789 shares (about 2.9% of what the top 50 YES holders own). Even the name gives it away: “nedjelja” means Sunday, and the election is on Sunday, Oct 25. The account was created on Oct 5, sat empty for two days, and its entire history is exactly two trades on Oct 8, at around 3:40 and 4:00 a.m. Belgrade time. First about $3,000 into Vučić YES at 62.6¢, then 24 minutes later about $1,900 into NO on the Student List. That’s roughly $4,900 on one side of one election from an account that has never touched another market, and it’s already down about $200. It fits a pattern in this market: a wave of brand-new accounts that exist only to bet on Vučić, sitting behind one whale (vsdiz1337, 134,883 shares, about 80% of the top 50). That doesn’t prove who’s behind any of them, and the NO side has fresh whales too. Still, don’t read the 62¢ as a crowd consensus. It’s a handful of wallets.

stirneresque3d

druže izgubićete i opet ćete da plačete kao i prošlih 8 puta, uvek ste bili i ostali jadni i bedni luzeri

stirneresque3d

šta si ti stavio mentolu glupi jebem ti mamu glupu

Svetozar873d

trenutno u Srbiji je demokratija samo prividna, u praksi ne postoji

WiseColibri3d

This kinda smells like a similar outcome to what happened in Hungary with Orbán lol PUMPAJ!

X12345673d

Mesec dana slobodnih medija i 70% tih penzionera ne bi glasalo za SNS.

0xbf4d1a28c596ee735601814f2519d33c4eD30Ee5-17718890761663d

Ne znači da možes da kradeš dokumente penzionerima 😁

Maki7773d

O kakvoj ti demokratiji pričaš u Srbiji 😂

X12345673d

Nije demokratski ni kada nemaš slobodne medije. Jedan od osnovnih uslova demokratije jeste da građani imaju pristup slobodnim i nezavisnim medijima, da mogu da se informišu iz različitih izvora i tek onda slobodno donesu odluku. Ne možeš se demokratskim sredstvima ravnopravno boriti protiv nekoga ko je već uzurpirao institucije, kontroliše medije i ne poštuje ista pravila. To je kao da ideš na fer tuču goloruk protiv čoveka koji je došao sa nožem. Formalno ste obojica pristali na borbu, ali uslovi od samog početka nisu ni fer ni ravnopravni.

X12345673d

Looked at the top 50 YES holders on the Vučić "most seats" market (155,049 shares between them, snapshot Oct 7). One account, vsdiz1337, holds 127,769 of those, which is 82.4%. Since Sep 18 has put roughly $244k into pro-Vučić positions only, including at least 64 buys on Oct 7 alone. Another 11 accounts are under five weeks old and bet almost exclusively on Serbian markets: scorpio81 (4,927 shares, 3.2%), minialex (1,651, 1.1%), AnnaBelleQ (1,341, 0.9%), crptfi (735, 0.5%), stirneresque (520, 0.3%), plus fansted, antananarivo, thevenin, ferasZog, Mikima and Nathanbid with under 320 each. Together that group is 10,439 shares, or 6.7%. ***Everyone else in the top 50 adds up to about 11%.

0xbf4d1a28c596ee735601814f2519d33c4eD30Ee5-17718890761663d

to nije bas demokratski :)

dgvsdzsdfcs3d

Ako su oni spremni da ovde upumpaju vise stotina hiljada dolara da bi odrzali ovakav prikaz verovatnoca, zasto mislis da Meridian nije spreman da podnese slicnu zrtvu, narocito s obzirom na to koliko su uvezani sa samim rezimom i koliko su profitirali od toga sto im se dozvoljava sve, pocevsi od izuzetno agresivnog reklamiranja. Sve je to cena koju su spremni da plate da bi rasirili malo defetizma medju narodom.

Maki7773d

Ne zaboravite sve svoje babe i dede, tetke i rođake! prvo pokušajte da im objasnite kakva je sadašnja vlas, a ako ne pomogne, sakrijte im dokumente na dan glasanja! :D Penzioneri su najkritičniji sloj društva.

vatafak3d

Mislim da nemas tacne podatke... Pogledaj kvote u domacim kladionicama, da li mislis da bi oni toliko rizikovali da nemaju provereni info, pusti ti Djoku vlaha i Sprint Insight sa 1 zaposlenim na tastinoj adresi. Nemam nista protiv, slobodno ulozi pare, ali smatram ces se bas iznenaditi rezultatima. Mene boli uvo, ja gledam brojke bez emocija. Ovde nemam poziciju za sad, ali imam u domacim.

srdjangg4d

Da bukvalno se vidi da brani kvotu a ne da kupuje zato što je neki "sindikat"

Kqzhqzh4d

Ajmo studenti ale ale

Zabahudin4d

samo kupujte po ovim cenama

BeekeeperMileeeee4d

Nisam mislio da ce ovako brzo da posustane :D Inace lepa je kvota da hulja nece biti premijer, preko 3 i tu najvise brani orderbook degen

X12345674d

70/30 is too expensive to maintain. His limit is 60/40 now.

X12345674d

@vsdiz1337 Come on, let's get serious. You didn't push the price down in time last night, and % went up overnight. You need to keep doing it twice a day like we used to. And as the regime change gets closer, you'll have to step it up to three times a day. Time to introduce an extra shift *** od 4 do pola 7 ***

BeekeeperMileeeee4d

hey @vsdiz1337 your balance is just $285. Can you ask your syndicate to fund you with a more serious amount so you can keep HULJA above 70%? Because at this point it kinda looks like you’re starting to run out of steam?

Zabahudin4d

They started to beleve…

0xB175A6F6bAa64434217ae4e5079Ee3338b48E419-17685846291614d

Check the graph, he is losing the ability to keep it steady rapidly, once a couple of polymarket whales notice this he is done

BeekeeperMileeeee4d

Koji bre sporni rezultati mili moj... on gubi sa laganih 5%+ sa sve silnom kradjom koju moze da uradi. Dakle najgori moguci slucaj je 5%+ u korist studentske liste, a realno je bar 10%+... nece tu smeti niko nista da uradi svima je jasno da je kraj

Maki7775d

How do you know his limits?

0xB175A6F6bAa64434217ae4e5079Ee3338b48E419-17685846291615d

As i commented before, the sole user that is pumping up the price for vucic party (that has strong predictions of losing) is starting to reach his limit, and the point of share prices flipping is getting closer

0xB175A6F6bAa64434217ae4e5079Ee3338b48E419-17685846291615d

There is no way the Electoral Commission will put out wrong results, votes can be recounted countless times, with polling station observers everywhere, you are saying nonsense

trancephorm5d

smaraš se sa budalaštinama pored kripta...

torturedpoets5d

ja govorim o tome da ce rik objaviti sporne rezultate koji ce se tek ganjati pravnim putem ali to resolver na polymarketu ne interesuje

BeekeeperMileeeee5d

A kako ti zamisljas da se to tacno desi da studenti pobede a oni ne objave? Te splacine su prepustene sami sebi vec sada jer znaju sta se desava.... pogledaj im sednice, ukenjali se svi. Prvo ko se juri za robiju su oni ako se nesto tako desi, preslikana je situacijama sa madjarima i Orbanom, zvalavi odlazi i to je svima jasno

torturedpoets5d

Studenti pobeđuju ali RIK nikada neće objaviti na sajtu, ne znam kako očekujete resolution da bude validan

Zabahudin5d

Sada ce da kupi klosar

dancingmonkey15d

svetski analiticar dancingmonkey1 kaze studenti pobedjuju! (spinujte ovo majmuni)

Zabahudin5d

kurir je pisao o polymarketu kako svetski analiticari daju vucicu 66 posto da ce da osvoji

BeekeeperMileeeee5d

Kao sto rekoh... "sindikat"

BeekeeperMileeeee5d

$34,092 deposited 7 mins ago.... zvalavkov mali ce opet krenuti da kupuje

dancingmonkey15d

there is no syndicate, this retard is just larping, no syndicate would manually take orders every 8 hours while arguing in polymarket comments 😭😭😭 studenti pobedjuju!

BeekeeperMileeeee5d

+$9,998 2hrs ago Balance: $1,288 Hey @vsdiz1337 your syndicate is going full YOLO kamikaze right now… what’s gonna happen to the syndicate when you guys lose? Asking for a friend

anarhislav6d

Samo nam cini uslugu, mozemo da mu uzmemo sve pare

Zabahudin6d

slepac

X12345676d

Lako je igrati se sa tudjim parama.

Zabahudin6d

evo ga opet

X12345676d

Evo postavio sam cekam da mi ovaj vas bot otkupi jos akcija da nam vrati bar deo para koje ste ukrali.

X12345676d

Ne kune majka sina što se kocka, nego što se vadi

BeekeeperMileeeee6d

on je stavio dovoljno i svoje pare... a ti si stavio malo i jos botovske pare

BeekeeperMileeeee6d

hey @vsdiz1337 your balance is only $2,279 now. Just wondering are you planning to add more and keep buying or you gonna sell those positions at a massive loss because you’ve realized you’re going to lose everything? Thanks

stirneresque6d

stavi onda kuću

X12345676d

Dear Bojan 🤣

X12345676d

0x780f…8955, stanje 4. 10. 🐋 - $164,6k u srpska tržišta za 17 dana, 610 kupovina, nijedna akcija prodata - Studenti NE: kupuje 13 dana zaredom, sada 76,9k akcija / $54k. Jutros još $3,6k po 66-67¢ - Vučić premijer DA: 111k akcija po 52,7¢, sada 67¢ = ~+$16k na papiru - Ali obe opklade na liste su u minusu: prosek ~66,9¢, sada 64-64,5¢, oko -$7,4k sa naknadama - Preko $8,5k spržio na naknade - Usporava: ~$2,5k dnevno u oktobru naspram ~$8,5k krajem septembra

X12345677d

Kad izadje 65+ procenata nema tog RIKa koji ce ga spasiti.

Zabahudin7d

samo mozemo da ga izduvamo ako rik objavi da ej vucic pobedio

vsdiz13377d

Dear Bojan, we apologize if we have caused you any troubles. Please feel free to update our position.

X12345678d

SNSindikat

0x1c02…8d

Teske paranoje

srdjangg8d

Top, hvala na informacijama.

srdjangg8d

Čekam odobrenje od banke za SEPA transfer :)

BeekeeperMileeeee8d

Jer market je nelikvidan trenutno, kako se blize izbori tako ce dolaziti do jacih igraca i stvarace se realna slika te krenuce da biduju... Nesto slicno je bilo za Orbanom, identicno kao ovo sada... jedan bot je drzao i fejkovao market prikazivajuci laznu sliku, i onda 10ak dana pred izbore su krenulu to da peglaju MMs... tako da ovo sto drzi ovaj bot koga funduju sa drzavnim parama je sam napravio 85% volume-a na svim marketima koji se ticu izbora

BeekeeperMileeeee8d

Sve je onchain i moze se proveriti... tebi je recimo kompletno prazan nalog :)

srdjangg8d

Sad je već dobra cena, zašto bi ljudi čekali zadnju nedelju?

srdjangg8d

Odakle ti informacija za njegov preostali balans? Zar ne bi to trebalo biti privatno.

BeekeeperMileeeee8d

Presek stanja za zvalavu botardu, trenutno: - Vrednost pozicija koje drzi $171,992 - Preostali balans $5,133

BeekeeperMileeeee8d

naduvas nam se kare i ti i tvoj sindikat... izucemo vas kao kerove za 2 nedelje kad krenemo ozbiljno da kupujemo SL. Sportski pozdrav

vsdiz13378d

We understand that political matters can be deeply personal and that people may hold strong views about the events we trade. Please be aware that our betting syndicate’s activity on political markets is not intended to express support for or opposition to any candidate, party, policy, or political outcome. Our positions do not reflect the political views of our organization or of any individual working with us. Our algorithmic models do not choose political sides. They identify markets where our models estimate that the available odds are mispriced. Any position we take is based solely on that assessment, regardless of the political outcome involved. We respect that others may feel strongly about these events and hope our activity is understood for what it is. Market participation, not political advocacy.

0xBE5bBffA33A21A864Fffa3a4a0D6cfc03c171A24-17637185794209d

ovaj batica vsdiz1337?

X123456710d

Whale watch on 0x780f…8955 🐋 - $154.7k into Serbian markets in 13 days, 592 buys, not a single share sold - Vučić PM YES: 111k shares @ 52.7¢ avg, already ~+$13.9k on paper - Students NO + Vučić list YES: $76.7k, bought every single day since Sep 22 - Sat Sep 26: dropped $26.4k in 18 minutes and walked both books from 61¢ to 69¢ himself - ~99% market orders, $8k+ burned on taker fees - Wallet was dead since March, woke up Sep 18 just for Serbia If Students take the most seats, $76.7k goes to zero on those two alone.

Zabahudin10d

Sta mislite oce ovaj bot obarati jos cenu da znam da li opet da udjem ili sad odma

vatafak10d

Last election NSPM poll on SNS two days before election was 38%, real result was 48%. They missed by 10%, pretty bad source.

X123456710d

EZ$

torturedpoets10d

Lol @ RIK being the source for resolution of this. RIK is never going to admit Student List as the winner

0xB175A6F6bAa64434217ae4e5079Ee3338b48E419-176858462916111d

This market is bout to flip, a single user can only artificially hold the value for so long before the rest of the polymarket realizes the Student List shares are on a huge discount rn

X123456711d

According to a September poll done by NSPM, the Student List is at 44.4% and United Serbia at 41.7%, up from 39.6% and 37.5% respectively, suggesting an increasingly polarized race between the two main blocs. The poll was conducted in early September, before several important developments, including the withdrawal of Narodna Srbija, internal turmoil in the “Mi, Snaga Naroda” movement, changes within the Socialist Party, and the publication of names on the Student List, so the current numbers may already be different.

VolodymyrIsachenko14d

I wish Vucic can hold.

Zabahudin14d

Otvorili su se novi marketi da znate 4 komada vezano za ovo.

BeekeeperMileeeee14d

Nesa slina sto fejkuje i biduje na zvalavog na nalogu trenutno ima: ~$25,715 Trenutno vrednost otvorenih pozicija: ~$135,940 Radicu update na par sati ili ako se desi neka bitnija promena 😏

Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia

Student List – Students Win

Ivica Dačić – Factor of Stability!

Rasim Ljajić – Humane (SDP – CDP)

Alliance of Vojvodina Hungarians – Dr Bálint Pásztor

Usame Zukorlić Movement for Unification

Russian Party – Serbia in BRICS – Slobodan Nikolić

Authentic Right – Dr Miloš Jovanović

European Serbia – Marinika Tepić, Zdravko Ponoš

SDA of Sandžak – Guardians of Sandžak

More in Serbia

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Comments (108)