OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
$316.2K Vol.Ends 01 Jan 2027
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
$316.2K Vol.
14%▼1%
$316.2K Vol.Ends 01 Jan 2027
$316.2K Vol.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI or an official representative of the company announces that it has created an artificial general intelligence (AGI) by December 31, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI and/or its official representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
0x30ab…13d
If people could see openAIs balancesheet this would be a lot higher...
iutwpfal28d
I like the stock
Vusion29d
OpenAI Is Open to Slowing Cutting-Edge AI, CEO Sam Altman Tells Staff
Chinchinnati31d
I did and sold thank you, my funds are now locked elsewhere. Another millenium prize solved. While you masturbate in your csuite I gamble and enjoy cocaine
yen4u31d
You aren't trading at all. Buy some shares cockroach
Chinchinnati32d
As I said ure full of shit, the contract is still on, you looked it up and now realize ur 1.2k no is wasted money. Good job baby thanks for the free money talk to u in 1month when its 50%
Chinchinnati33d
The contract is totally still binding send source
Vusion33d
That contract doesn’t even exist anymore, they completely renegotiated the deal.
Chinchinnati33d
Im not saying Im insider trading but I didnt get one wrong ;)
Chinchinnati33d
100% going to resolve to YES; when they IPO they don't want to share with Microsoft do they, read the contracts.
JoPower34d
I was wrong. There was indeed someone either unaware or bold enough to do this. Jensen Huang.
LevantLeverage36d
this could be the end of humanity
Hot-Skull37d
It’s crazy how well OpenAI managed to keep the way Astra was presented era agi so consistent across all their employees
JoPower37d
Left alone, OpenAI might officially declare AGI in the near future. Or maybe Brockman's comments would be enough for UMA to resolve the market to yes. But in the same day, Bernie Sanders floated banning Super Intelligence outright. You can call it ASI, or AGI. But no AI leader would be stupid enough now to declare AGI and face the brunt of political backlash. Thus, they might never declare.
Eia44d
Yes, for this market it is. This is an announcement market for OpenAI. If they announce that they have an internal AGI, the market will resolve Yes. Doesnt actually have to be AGI, or be proven to be, they just need to say it. And they will, they need the buzz to stay relevant, so high probability they will.
tbkboss44d
Is AGI = Altman's Genius Idea? Is it agi cause he says so?
Eia45d
Chief research officer Mark Chen estimated OpenAI is “80% of the way” to AGI. Brockman said that viewed from two years in the future, this may be remembered as the moment AGI was created.
Eia45d
The Times: "Altman told me that OpenAI was “not quite yet” there, but that by the end of the year the company would have an internal system he would call AGI."
Brovadana65d
Don't bet on markets if you don't even understand the basic reality behind them. Whether AGI is achieved will always be debatable. Some will say it is true, some will say it is not.
0xb6514e0836ba48eD4b86439D254d99071Cd0b4F7-178207701016176d
I'd be cautious here, these openAI scammers tend to lie a lot, so they can announce this even if it's not true
matteorenzi159d
its not about AGI creation, its about announcement, which is very different nowdays
princessbubblegum164d
Half way there
gamehasyou165d
I would say this is a freeroll for NO. If AGI really comes this website and money wouldn’t mean anything
GomesUSA201d
NVIDIA annouced they achieved AGI, now the next's like OpenAI will follow. 100% free money..
GomesUSA201d
Nvidia announced, no the next's will follow
jkfld34221d
Anyone who pays taxes does, yes.
chessbot252d
Hahahaha
0x35f14AB200A22423B3CC6317AE2B269552CF9b46-1765574944722256d
We already have AGI
StrategicAdvisor268d
Feels unlikely. The term 'AGI' feels quite unfashionable now in 2026. Also, Sam Altman has expressed doubts of the utility of the term, and OpenAI and Microsoft have signed new agreements saying that OpenAI can't unilaterally declare that they achieved AGI without it being vetted by a panel of experts. In any case, OpenAI's main goal now is profitability.
kevtp347d
Would make the odds much more reliable if this was included in the 4% annual payout program for long duration markets
chessbot347d
Most free 19% return I've seen so far. However, waiting for a year for this to resolve will be painful...
