JD Vance replaced as Republican VP nominee?
$7M Vol.Ends 31 Aug 2024
$7M Vol.Ends 31 Aug 2024
This market will resolve to "Yes" if JD Vance officially announces his withdrawal or is confirmed to have withdrawn from his candidacy for Vice President in the 2024 US election by 11:59 PM ET on August 31, 2024. In the event of any extenuating circumstances that prevent JD Vance from continuing the race, this market will also resolve to "Yes". If JD Vance does not announce his withdrawal or is not forced to withdraw from the 2024 presidential race by the specified time, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from JD Vance or his official/legal representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Garni770d
Easy trade [link removed]
Malganis770d
what the hell is that kirkland brand market
Malganis770d
GG!
BigMike11772d
Deadline now is too soon. Here's one with a longer deadline [link removed]
0x23665967e7e763aE5844810c40a6A09C8725Fdc772d
Fuck it we ball
0x23665967e7e763aE5844810c40a6A09C8725Fdc772d
oof
MineGuyBonds772d
Trump would not be allowed a change on the ballot in Arizona and Pennsylvania if he wished to switch Vance out. The deadline has already passed.
0x23665967e7e763aE5844810c40a6A09C8725Fdc772d
[link removed]
testa-stretta772d
...of the zoo that is
testa-stretta772d
Trump would rather win with his donors (Thiel et. al.) than become the next President....got it
studmuffin6969773d
why on earth would they want to replace JD Vance. He's a star.
Erasmus.773d
For Trump to decide to get rid of Vance, he would have to first remember that Vance exists.
BigMike11773d
"Maricopa County finalizes their ballots by August 22nd". Pennsylvania was August 27th. [link removed]
BigMike11774d
Whoah. [link removed]
Herbivore774d
It's not gone for another 3 days. It says by September 1st. Obviously not going to happen, but technically still open for now
testa-stretta774d
"VP's barely matter in practice"....said while Kamala will mostly likely be the next President SOLELY due to being the VP
Zezima123775d
You realize this resolves August 31, right?
testa-stretta775d
Nah, it shows that Trump is committed to picking the best candidate for the job. Majority of people will understand and respect that.
0x23665967e7e763aE5844810c40a6A09C8725Fdc775d
#JeetDVance
BigMike11775d
1. VP's barely matter in practice. 2. It would be embarrassing to dump Vance after picking him. It would be a public acknowledgment that Trump has poor judgment and is erratic. 3. Some ballots are already set in stone. The way this happens is via a successful assassination attempt of T or Vance in the next four days.
testa-stretta775d
pence was net-neutral, vance is negative
456ythgbvcadscvb775d
Vance is miles ahead of what Pence was. No regrets from the Trump camp
testa-stretta775d
If Trump drops Vance, he wins. The question is, does Trump WANT to win? And yes, it's really that frekin simple!
jancedancevance776d
gone why?
brianhc776d
Why isn't the expiry date in the header, degens ain't got time to read the small print
brianhc776d
Aaaand it's gone
TheOneB777d
oh i absolutely agree with you. Especially for this particular market, since it's ending in August 31. Even if RFK replacing Vance happened, zero chance it's within the next 6 days.
AccountNames777d
That man put in his application to New Hampshire on Friday I read. No way.
TheOneB777d
some folks started flying around rumours of RFK replacing Vance
AccountNames777d
What's the cause of this pump?
Figoo57777d
It's coming true?
Figoo57777d
Wow?
0xb58E48719903Fb6e042bd32047Af01b61bE0ED1B-1724473718225778d
I am absolutely stunned that this isn't being bit more. Is Peter Thiel Suppressing this because Vance is his butt boy?
NadyaSuleman778d
He should replace him with Kennedy. Trump-Kennedy would be an iconic ticket
WeaponizedLSD778d
lmao
Losemoney778d
Anyone hear anything from Vance today? 🔪🩸💀🪦
PocketShibe779d
if this ended in december instead of august I'd put money on it, vance is a horrible pick for trump so far
GuenterGoober779d
Trump doing irrational things surely sounds like a conspiracy theory
danandsan779d
Polymarkets is where conspiracy theorists come to give money to the rational people
Losemoney780d
Sir, we honor you for four weeks of epic douchebaggery and bid you farewell🫡
dreamer780d
make way for big mike
BigMike11780d
Could be announcing it tonight. [link removed]
BigMike11780d
RFK to replace Vance.
EmployeeOfTheWeek781d
[link removed]
AccountNames781d
He isn't getting fired. Just need to wait for the month to end at this point.
dmn781d
holy shit 43,000 yes?? :O
dmn781d
i ate 50 pizzas in 20 days
0x977a22c1cc22ffd9035ef29c60860f42bf7ae0f5782d
Trump loyal to his own like this, plus it would be embarrassing if he changed it. You're essentially betting JD Vance dies or chooses to withdraw
dubzydubzy783d
Cope
Sleijffers783d
Interesting to read why the ‘no’s are so certain. My take is you are probably right to be honest. However, it’s Trump predictably rash in his decisions. And at these odds I’m willing to make a bet he will might do something. To all those who think the clock is ticking, if he makes a change it’ll only be during or after Harris’s speech at the end of the DNC.
LEGACY-ACCT784d
This has been the easiest NO I've ever seen
Malganis784d
what if he gets hit by lightning on september 1st ? @aaron28a thank you for your first sentence, i'll look into it. As for the second one, I just want to say that i'm very new to this and very open to being challenged and changing my beliefs
GuenterGoober784d
You do understand that it wouldn't even make a difference. It would be impossible to change the VP candidate in time afterwards anyway because of when the ballots are printed, legal reasons and rules of the Republican party. It's obvious that you have no clue what's going on and just follow the whales. Let's see where it gets you, according to your profile nowhere in the direction of profit
Malganis784d
I think it's clear that this market is WAY overbought, and it's no wonder some of the biggest whales have built enormous NO positions. Why? Because this market expire august 31, and not until the end of the race like it would be easy to assume if you only read the question.
GuenterGoober784d
I ate 40 pizzas in 30 days
GuenterGoober784d
Got some good news, stay tuned
LostMyLifeSavingsIn2024784d
First bet, ironically I bet I lose this but now I can say I bet on it and I just think that's a funny thing to say, worth the $100 L
Figoo57785d
See, I told you that~
Katz785d
unsure either way
GuenterGoober786d
It's not going to happen unfortunately, only chance will be this weekend
Figoo57786d
Yes, the change will start with my joining today.
Squee786d
My first time on the site I lost 25,000 betting Andrew Yang would become mayor of New York. Your bet was much more reasonable than mine!
dubzydubzy786d
i've made a bad bet. Trump would rather double down and lose than pivoting to vivek or tulsi. What we "think" should happen will not happen. The Dems has had this campaign in their bag since Biden debate and trump is just himself.
cockbrain786d
drumpf needs to replace this couch fucker if he still wants a chance
Aldebaran787d
Based
idfkanything787d
He made an honest loveseat out of that couch.
JamesNguyen12787d
I think "no"
sirhc787d
A lot of people are saying he fucked a couch
dnd123787d
polls will continue to move against trump and he will absolutely blame this couchfucking freak
456ythgbvcadscvb787d
If Anthony Scaramucci is your thesis, well then you’re a retarded faggot who needs a new thesis
GuenterGoober787d
He is such a cck, gets absolutely cooked in every interview and even by trump and he takes it like a little btch
Q1r788d
Remember, JD stands for Jorkin Dapeanus
Losemoney789d
Two weeks ago I thought JD shouldn’ve been removed. But back then he was fat.
cockbrain790d
I went to elementary school with JD Vance, or JD Bowman as he was known then. He wet his bed until he was 13 and we all called him JD Soakman. That's the real reason he changed his name to JD Vance. But then we just called him JD Pants and he left our school.
