Israeli election results in a hung parliament?

Rules

Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Israel in 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if, following the next election for the Israeli Knesset, a new Knesset election is called prior to any government being formed. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Government formation refers to a political coalition or government being approved by an investiture vote of the Knesset. An election will be considered called if the Knesset is dissolved, or if a new Knesset election is otherwise officially announced by the Israeli government. If a government is formed following the election before a new Knesset election is called, this market will immediately resolve to “No”. The failure of a government formation attempt will not alone qualify if no new Knesset election has been called. If neither occurs by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Comments (1)

• B

  bbilish12d

  תיקו בין הגושים וכל אחד מבטיח משהו אחר, או שמישהו משקר או שיהיו בחירות חוזרות. קשה לי לראות איך אייזנקוט יהיה ראש ממשלה בלי לצרף מהקואליציה (ולא רואה מישהו משם מסכים) סיכוי היחיד זה שביבי יוותר מלהיות ראש ממשלה או שיתנו לו וזה לא נראלי יקרה בסבב הזה.