Andrew Tate released from custody by...?
$310.3K Vol.Ends 01 Jan 2027
Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026?
$118.3K Vol.
10%▲1%
$310.3K Vol.Ends 01 Jan 2027
$118.3K Vol.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Andrew Tate is released from government custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Tate is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes". If Tate is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes". Transporting Andrew Tate to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release. Extradition or transfer to a different jurisdiction of custody will not qualify as a release from custody. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Werstie31d
Bail was denied, and it wasn't close.
MilkedPolitician72640d
What just happened?
Mantzuraj44d
Who the fuck was stupid enough to drop the August 31 No from 93 all the way down to 60% ????? I just wish I could have seen and went all in. Top G spot will be found by tyrone in prison forever
Mantzuraj44d
DONE, judge decision will be taken September 4. Fuck Peter War. See how I rhymed there? Hahaha
Mantzuraj44d
Already back to 96% No hahahaha. Tate fans get wrecked
Prof.Money-Exterminator44d
What are you doing for living?
Mantzuraj44d
Nice little touch you don't deny supporting trafficking. You're sick I got nothing more to say to you rot in hell
PeterWar44d
Ahaha keep crying bro u desperate peasent
Mantzuraj44d
Peter War calling me a worthless peasant then deleting his comment realizing he's cooked hahahaha. You retard you've been played. They'll never get out. And also you didn't double anything from your "investment" you didn't sell a single share. You're a pathetic loser supporting trafficking. Despicable
Mantzuraj44d
Vladimir Scorpius out here thinks he gon get bail hahahaha it's such an easy deny
Prof.Money-Exterminator44d
Ahahah so pathetic
Prof.Money-Exterminator44d
We are not done yet
Mantzuraj44d
Lol, we're they released? Judge shut their ass down real quick why you barking?
PeterWar44d
get fucked idiot. You're so low iq
Werstie45d
The judge rebutted the Tates attorneys saying she has to follow US law not romanian law
Werstie45d
"The brothers were wearing tan prison clothes and shackled for Thursday’s hearing. Their lawyers spent more than an hour arguing the U.K.’s request was out of line because their criminal case in Romania is going first and Romanian officials have let them remain free until the proceedings conclude. The judge reminded defense attorneys she has to follow U.S. laws."
Mantzuraj45d
hahahaha I love it
Prof.Money-Exterminator45d
DONT SAY A BAD WORD ABOUT TOP G. I LOVE THE WAY HE PERFORMS BALLET. #freeTate
Mantzuraj45d
It's been written in the stars ever since he got arrested. He's not getting out
Prof.Money-Exterminator45d
Court started. Nopers will cry in 1-3 hours😈
Mantzuraj59d
tates lawyers said they need more time for arguments. Next hearing august 27. Tate's last chance, after this he's not getting out
Mantzuraj59d
well, betting on andrew tate to be free certainly shows your triple digit iq. Im sure you're very good with money. Average tatesexual cope.
PeterWar59d
i am 1000x richer than u will ever be u sack of shit
Mantzuraj61d
And you are -6.5k you waste of oxygen brokie piece of trash. Im literally 3 times better than you. Respond when you're profitable again
PeterWar61d
Shut that mouth u are here everyday fudding. Your account is up 3k, u are absolutely worthless in any regard to any polymarket bets.
Mantzuraj61d
Let them. Survival of the fittest. Like there was ever a chance they'd get bail in an extradition case
Werstie61d
Have a read of the governments opposition to bail and exhibits just filed before dumping your money into August 31st yes
ineedmassage66d
i guess he kinda escaped the matrix this way
Mantzuraj74d
Honestly I think he's dumb, the August 13 is a bond hearing, how can he possibly know he won't get bail? Granted it's almost guaranteed he won't
ineedmassage74d
Imagine the sack load andrew is going to accumulate during his custody
Werstie74d
Andrew Tate just conceded via email he will be locked up for at least another 60 days, an admission he won't be granted bail.
Relaccsed75d
hi tate
ineedmassage75d
do i look like a lawyer, dawg?
Werstie75d
December 31st Yes is in reality equivalent to "Will Tate be granted bail" and the answer to that is an unequivocal no because bail is extremely rare in extradition cases, let alone ones involving 52 charges of violent rape, assault, trafficking and CSAM.
Mantzuraj75d
They'll stay in jail for another 2 weeks. Next court date August 13
gigkikkunkun76d
by the listed date
Werstie76d
Because extradition proceedings take a very long time and he isn't getting bail. He also would not get bail in the UK if shipped over, in which case he's still in custody according to the rules.
ICBW76d
Why would he be in custody by the end of the year?
ineedmassage77d
Free the bottom G
Mantzuraj77d
Well written 👏
Werstie77d
Why Dec 31 "No" is still cheap at 82¢ 19% Yes prices in a real path to release in the next five months. Walk through them and they mostly close: Bail. This isn't an ordinary federal case - the Bail Reform Act doesn't govern international extradition. Wright v. Henkel (1903) is still the rule: no presumption in favor of bail, and the burden sits on the fugitive to show "special circumstances," which courts read narrowly (grave illness, extraordinary delay, a facially defective request). Being a good bail candidate isn't enough on its own. Prosecutors have already asked for detention without bond, arguing danger to the community and flight risk. The hearing itself. The government's burden at certification is only probable cause. No Federal Rules of Evidence, hearsay comes in, and the defense can't mount a case - only evidence that obliterates probable cause. Dual criminality for rape and trafficking under the 2003 treaty is trivially met. Appeals. There's no direct appeal from a certification order. The only review is a §2241 habeas petition, then the Eleventh Circuit - and he sits in FDC Miami throughout. Aggressive litigation lengthens the process; it doesn't shorten custody. Contested high-profile extraditions run in years, not months. The political exit just closed. Rubio and the white house have said publicly the administration won't intervene. State has granted nearly every UK request since the 2007 treaty took effect.
Werstie77d
If you think he will be extradited why are you betting so much on December Yes?
Relaccsed78d
Yeah, he done for
0x3314241c37A296e9AeCe7E7DFB5898652b4aa8c7-176796827677878d
Bet ‘No’ then :)
Ohyeahohno78d
I've recently been struggling with polymarket and im at a significant loss of money. Could you please alert me of the trades you do so i could do the exact opposite.
100xfromhere79d
Top Goy sentenced for life?
Mantzuraj80d
Extradition or transfer to a different jurisdiction of custody will not qualify as a release from custody. Oops, poor Mr troll
0x3314241c37A296e9AeCe7E7DFB5898652b4aa8c7-176796827677880d
Just out, he will be extradited
Mantzuraj80d
His lawyer is dumb as rocks, and also he has self snitched so much that it's basically over for him
ineedmassage80d
Add other dates bruv
0xa5EE709D561a48E1FF4d724EACa3F24D64CCA4B6-177980198959281d
Lebron
0x3314241c37A296e9AeCe7E7DFB5898652b4aa8c7-176796827677881d
He’s def life in prison
Mantzuraj81d
hahahaha love it dude
Euan81d
What colour is your jail cell? 😂😂😂😂 haha fucking bum
rJaien81d
😭
letterH81d
bad faith market
Sahalin81d
it will be No, as in your case he would be released for sure, but after being dead...some nuances right here
Mantzuraj82d
Bro, you are on polymarket for a year. Don't be fucking stupid.
PeterWar82d
why are there no explicit rules about his death? If he dies? Which should be a concern for everyone, is this yes or no?
TheKinginYellow83d
rot in jail pls
molodoyy83d
zero Epstein arrests btw
